Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Bandırmaspor vs Erzurumspor FK

Bandırmaspor vs Erzurumspor FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-12-20 10:30
Bandırmaspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Erzurumspor FK
Away

Prediction Summary

1
37%
X
28%
2
36%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Bandırmaspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match0.68
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate26%

Erzurumspor FK (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bandırmaspor
WDWDD
Erzurumspor FK
DDDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 95%
37% +1.5 53%
16% +2.5 16%
16% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
26% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Bandırmaspor averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Erzurumspor FK averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
37%
Draw
28%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Bandırmaspor(A) 1 - 1 Erzurumspor FK Draw
Dec 2025 Bandırmaspor 0 - 2 Erzurumspor FK Away
May 2025 Bandırmaspor 2 - 0 Erzurumspor FK Home
Jan 2025 Bandırmaspor(A) 0 - 2 Erzurumspor FK Away
Aug 2024 Bandırmaspor 3 - 2 Erzurumspor FK Home

In the last 5 meetings, Bandırmaspor won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Bandırmaspor — unbeaten run (home)6
Bandırmaspor — scoring streak (home)2
Erzurumspor FK — winless run (away)2
Erzurumspor FK — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bandırmaspor Win (1)37%
Draw (X)28%
Erzurumspor FK Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 95%
37% +1.5 53%
16% +2.5 16%
16% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 5%
63% -1.5 47%
84% -2.5 84%
84% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Bandırmaspor vs Erzurumspor FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bandırmaspor — scored (home)1.42
Bandırmaspor — conceded (home)0.68
Erzurumspor FK — scored (away)1.63
Erzurumspor FK — conceded (away)0.79
Model expected combined goals2.42

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Bandırmaspor — BTTS matches (home)26%
Erzurumspor FK — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)36.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.569%
Under 6.531%
Over 7.556%
Under 7.544%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bandırmaspor (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against4.6

Erzurumspor FK (away)

Corners for3.6
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bandırmaspor
5 9 12 9 13
Erzurumspor FK
4 8 7 9 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Bandırmaspor (home)

For2.2

Erzurumspor FK (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Bandırmaspor — total shots (home)11.6
Erzurumspor FK — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Bandırmaspor — on target (home)4.3
Erzurumspor FK — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bandırmaspor

Inside the box6.34
Outside the box4.18

Erzurumspor FK

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box3.74

Player Shots Bandırmaspor

D. Ndongala
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target11%
L. Bacuna
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target16%
Douglas Tanque
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target25%
K. Alıcı
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target5%
A. Badji
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Erzurumspor FK

E. Tozlu
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target35%
Burak Böyüksünnetci
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
A. Kabak
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%
M. Yumlu
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target6%
M. Fettahoğlu
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bandırmaspor xG (home)1.18
Erzurumspor FK xG (away)1.76

Average Possession

45.21% Possession 55.5%

Team Comparison Bandırmaspor vs Erzurumspor FK

77.71% Pass accuracy 85.16%
344.95 Passes per match 469.89
0 Goals prevented 0
11.26 Fouls committed 10.71
3.05 Goalkeeper saves 2
1.92 Offsides 2.17
13.87 Tackles per match 13.39

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bandırmaspor vs Erzurumspor FK prediction analysis

Review Bandırmaspor vs Erzurumspor FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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