Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Bandırmaspor vs Esenler Erokspor

Bandırmaspor vs Esenler Erokspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-10-26 10:30
Bandırmaspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Esenler Erokspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
23%
2
45%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
66%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Bandırmaspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match0.68
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate26%

Esenler Erokspor (Away)

Goals scored / match2.21
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bandırmaspor
WDWDD
Esenler Erokspor
LDLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 79%
37% +1.5 58%
16% +2.5 47%
16% +3.5 26%
0% +4.5 11%
26% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.

Bandırmaspor averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Esenler Erokspor averages 2.21 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
23%
Away Win
45%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
66%

Head-to-Head last 4

Mar 2026 Bandırmaspor(A) 1 - 1 Esenler Erokspor Draw
Oct 2025 Bandırmaspor 0 - 0 Esenler Erokspor Draw
Apr 2025 Bandırmaspor 1 - 0 Esenler Erokspor Home
Dec 2024 Bandırmaspor(A) 1 - 1 Esenler Erokspor Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Bandırmaspor won 1, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Bandırmaspor — unbeaten run (home)6
Bandırmaspor — scoring streak (home)2
Esenler Erokspor — winless run (away)1
Esenler Erokspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bandırmaspor Win (1)32%
Draw (X)23%
Esenler Erokspor Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 79%
37% +1.5 58%
16% +2.5 47%
16% +3.5 26%
0% +4.5 11%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 21%
63% -1.5 42%
84% -2.5 53%
84% -3.5 74%
100% -4.5 89%

Bandırmaspor vs Esenler Erokspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bandırmaspor — scored (home)1.42
Bandırmaspor — conceded (home)0.68
Esenler Erokspor — scored (away)2.21
Esenler Erokspor — conceded (away)0.95
Model expected combined goals3.35

Both Teams To Score

Yes66%
No34%

Rate per Team

Bandırmaspor — BTTS matches (home)26%
Esenler Erokspor — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.558%
Under 7.542%
Over 8.542%
Under 8.558%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bandırmaspor (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against4.6

Esenler Erokspor (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bandırmaspor
5 9 12 9 13
Esenler Erokspor
8 10 11 7 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Bandırmaspor (home)

For2.2

Esenler Erokspor (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Bandırmaspor — total shots (home)11.6
Esenler Erokspor — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Bandırmaspor — on target (home)4.3
Esenler Erokspor — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bandırmaspor

Inside the box6.34
Outside the box4.18

Esenler Erokspor

Inside the box8.54
Outside the box4.15

Player Shots Bandırmaspor

D. Ndongala
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target11%
L. Bacuna
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target16%
Douglas Tanque
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target25%
K. Alıcı
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target5%
A. Badji
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Esenler Erokspor

O. Kayode
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Ö. Beyaz
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Jack
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%
E. Gedik
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
G. Kanga
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bandırmaspor xG (home)1.18
Esenler Erokspor xG (away)1.6

Average Possession

45.21% Possession 57.9%

Team Comparison Bandırmaspor vs Esenler Erokspor

77.71% Pass accuracy 83.72%
344.95 Passes per match 464.79
0 Goals prevented 0
11.26 Fouls committed 10.67
3.05 Goalkeeper saves 1.64
1.92 Offsides 1.95
13.87 Tackles per match 13.03

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bandırmaspor vs Esenler Erokspor prediction analysis

Review Bandırmaspor vs Esenler Erokspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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