Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Bandırmaspor vs İstanbulspor

Bandırmaspor vs İstanbulspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2026-08-09 16:00
Bandırmaspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
İstanbulspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
27%
2
26%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Bandırmaspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match0.68
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate26%

İstanbulspor (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bandırmaspor
WDWDD
İstanbulspor
WWWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 58%
37% +1.5 37%
16% +2.5 26%
16% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
26% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Bandırmaspor averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while İstanbulspor averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
27%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Bandırmaspor 1 - 0 İstanbulspor Home
Oct 2025 Bandırmaspor(A) 1 - 1 İstanbulspor Draw
Feb 2025 Bandırmaspor 1 - 0 İstanbulspor Home
Sep 2024 Bandırmaspor(A) 0 - 0 İstanbulspor Draw
Jun 2022 Bandırmaspor 1 - 2 İstanbulspor Away

In the last 5 meetings, Bandırmaspor won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Bandırmaspor — unbeaten run (home)6
Bandırmaspor — scoring streak (home)2
İstanbulspor — winless run (away)0
İstanbulspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bandırmaspor Win (1)47%
Draw (X)27%
İstanbulspor Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 58%
37% +1.5 37%
16% +2.5 26%
16% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 42%
63% -1.5 63%
84% -2.5 74%
84% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Bandırmaspor vs İstanbulspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bandırmaspor — scored (home)1.42
Bandırmaspor — conceded (home)0.68
İstanbulspor — scored (away)1.32
İstanbulspor — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals2.45

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

Bandırmaspor — BTTS matches (home)26%
İstanbulspor — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)36.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (model prediction)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bandırmaspor (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against4.6

İstanbulspor (away)

Corners for3.3
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bandırmaspor
5 9 12 9 13
İstanbulspor
4 19 6 11 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Bandırmaspor (home)

For2.2

İstanbulspor (away)

For2.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.561%
Under 19.539%
Over 22.547%
Under 22.553%
Over 25.534%
Under 25.566%
Expected total shots22.77

Bandırmaspor

Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.550%
Shots Over 13.536%
Expected shots12.10
On Target Over 3.558%
On Target Over 4.543%
On Target Over 5.530%
Expected on target4.40

İstanbulspor

Shots Over 9.555%
Shots Over 11.539%
Shots Over 13.525%
Expected shots10.68
On Target Over 3.547%
On Target Over 4.532%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.67

Shots per Game

Bandırmaspor — total shots (home)11.6
İstanbulspor — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Bandırmaspor — on target (home)4.3
İstanbulspor — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bandırmaspor

Inside the box6.34
Outside the box4.18

İstanbulspor

Inside the box7.55
Outside the box4.13

Player Shots Bandırmaspor

D. Ndongala
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target11%
L. Bacuna
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target16%
Douglas Tanque
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target25%
K. Alıcı
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target5%
A. Badji
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots İstanbulspor

Alieu Cham
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target43%
Fahri Kerem Ay
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Sol
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
Ö. Duymaz
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
E. Gültekin
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bandırmaspor xG (home)1.18
İstanbulspor xG (away)1.46

Average Possession

45.21% Possession 47.97%

Team Comparison Bandırmaspor vs İstanbulspor

77.71% Pass accuracy 78.5%
344.95 Passes per match 382.74
0 Goals prevented 0
11.26 Fouls committed 11.45
3.05 Goalkeeper saves 2.66
1.92 Offsides 1.86
13.87 Tackles per match 13.62

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bandırmaspor vs İstanbulspor prediction analysis

Review Bandırmaspor vs İstanbulspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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