Prediction Analysis: Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor
Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
1. Lig
2025-10-04
10:30
Bandırmaspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Ümraniyespor
Away
Prediction Summary
1
56%
X
24%
2
20%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Bandırmaspor (Home)
Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match0.68
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate26%
Ümraniyespor (Away)
Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate37%
Team Form last 5 matches
Bandırmaspor
WDWDD
Ümraniyespor
LWLDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
74%
+0.5
53%
37%
+1.5
21%
16%
+2.5
5%
16%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
26%
BTTS
37%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Medium.
Bandırmaspor averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Ümraniyespor averages 0.79 goals scored away.
Model Strength
56%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
56%
Draw
24%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
Head-to-Head last 5
Mar 2026
Bandırmaspor(A)
2 - 1
Ümraniyespor
Home
Oct 2025
Bandırmaspor
2 - 1
Ümraniyespor
Home
Mar 2025
Bandırmaspor
2 - 0
Ümraniyespor
Home
Oct 2024
Bandırmaspor(A)
1 - 1
Ümraniyespor
Draw
Feb 2024
Bandırmaspor
4 - 1
Ümraniyespor
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Bandırmaspor won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Bandırmaspor — unbeaten run (home)6
Bandırmaspor — scoring streak (home)2
Ümraniyespor — winless run (away)0
Ümraniyespor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Bandırmaspor Win (1)56%
Draw (X)24%
Ümraniyespor Win (2)20%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
74%
+0.5
53%
37%
+1.5
21%
16%
+2.5
5%
16%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
26%
-0.5
47%
63%
-1.5
79%
84%
-2.5
95%
84%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Bandırmaspor — scored (home)1.42
Bandırmaspor — conceded (home)0.68
Ümraniyespor — scored (away)0.79
Ümraniyespor — conceded (away)1.42
Model expected combined goals2.63
Both Teams To Score
Yes49%
No51%
Rate per Team
Bandırmaspor — BTTS matches (home)26%
Ümraniyespor — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)31.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.564%
Under 7.536%
Over 8.547%
Under 8.553%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10
Per-Team Corners own matches
Bandırmaspor (home)
Corners for4.1
Corners against4.6
Ümraniyespor (away)
Corners for4.1
Corners against5.3
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Bandırmaspor
5
9
12
9
13
Ümraniyespor
8
14
7
14
8
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3
Yellow Cards per Team
Bandırmaspor (home)
For2.2
Ümraniyespor (away)
For2.1
Shots per Game
Bandırmaspor — total shots (home)11.6
Ümraniyespor — total shots (away)8.9
Shots on Target
Bandırmaspor — on target (home)4.3
Ümraniyespor — on target (away)3.2
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Bandırmaspor
Inside the box6.34
Outside the box4.18
Ümraniyespor
Inside the box6.03
Outside the box3.97
Player Shots Bandırmaspor
D. Ndongala
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target11%
L. Bacuna
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target16%
Douglas Tanque
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target25%
K. Alıcı
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target5%
A. Badji
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
Player Shots Ümraniyespor
B. Çelik
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target24%
C. Soukou
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Bardhi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
Benny
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target20%
E. Kaplan
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target7%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Bandırmaspor xG (home)1.18
Ümraniyespor xG (away)1.27
Average Possession
45.21%
Possession
47.08%
Team Comparison Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor
77.71%
Pass accuracy
79.97%
344.95
Passes per match
386.84
0
Goals prevented
0
11.26
Fouls committed
10.42
3.05
Goalkeeper saves
3.08
1.92
Offsides
1.59
13.87
Tackles per match
14.54
League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor prediction analysis
Review Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights