Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Barcelona vs BSC Young Boys

Barcelona vs BSC Young Boys prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2024-10-01 19:00
Barcelona
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
73%
Confidence
High
Score
3-0
BSC Young Boys
Away

Prediction Summary

1
81%
X
12%
2
7%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Barcelona (Home)

Goals scored / match3.43
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate86%
BTTS rate57%

BSC Young Boys (Away)

Goals scored / match0.6
Goals conceded / match2.6
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Barcelona
LDLWW
BSC Young Boys
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 60%
100% +1.5 0%
86% +2.5 0%
43% +3.5 0%
14% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 73%. Model confidence is High.

Barcelona averages 3.43 goals scored at home, while BSC Young Boys averages 0.6 goals scored away.

Model Strength
81%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
81%
Draw
12%
Away Win
7%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2024 Barcelona 5 - 0 BSC Young Boys Home

In the last 1 meetings, Barcelona won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Barcelona — unbeaten run (home)7
Barcelona — scoring streak (home)7
BSC Young Boys — winless run (away)4
BSC Young Boys — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Barcelona Win (1)81%
Draw (X)12%
BSC Young Boys Win (2)7%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 60%
100% +1.5 0%
86% +2.5 0%
43% +3.5 0%
14% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 40%
0% -1.5 100%
14% -2.5 100%
57% -3.5 100%
86% -4.5 100%

Barcelona vs BSC Young Boys — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Barcelona — scored (home)3.43
Barcelona — conceded (home)1
BSC Young Boys — scored (away)0.6
BSC Young Boys — conceded (away)2.6
Model expected combined goals3.81

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Barcelona — BTTS matches (home)57%
BSC Young Boys — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)48.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.593%
Under 4.57%
Over 5.583%
Under 5.517%
Over 6.583%
Under 6.517%
Over 7.576%
Under 7.524%
Over 8.576%
Under 8.524%
Over 9.569%
Under 9.531%
Over 10.555%
Under 10.545%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Barcelona (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against3.7

BSC Young Boys (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against7.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Barcelona
7 10 12 9 12
BSC Young Boys
11 16 5 11 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.555%
Under 2.545%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Barcelona (home)

For0.1

BSC Young Boys (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

Barcelona — total shots (home)17.9
BSC Young Boys — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

Barcelona — on target (home)7.4
BSC Young Boys — on target (away)2.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Barcelona

Inside the box10.43
Outside the box5.57

BSC Young Boys

Inside the box6.8
Outside the box4.5

Player Shots Barcelona

R. Lewandowski
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target46%
Lamine Yamal
Shots on Target/Game2.2
+0.5 On Target85%
+1.5 On Target69%
Raphinha
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target43%
Fermín
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
Ferran Torres
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots BSC Young Boys

M. Camara
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Colley
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target22%
Joël Monteiro
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
D. Males
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
F. Ugrinic
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Barcelona xG (home)2.36
BSC Young Boys xG (away)0.65

Average Possession

61.93% Possession 41.9%

Team Comparison Barcelona vs BSC Young Boys

87.21% Pass accuracy 79.3%
593.57 Passes per match 345.6
-0.28 Goals prevented -0.42
8.93 Fouls committed 14.4
2.64 Goalkeeper saves 4.1
1 Offsides 2.2
16.36 Tackles per match 15.2

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Barcelona vs BSC Young Boys prediction analysis

Review Barcelona vs BSC Young Boys with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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