What markets are included in the Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe

Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-12-06 17:00

Başakşehir

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

54%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Fenerbahçe

Away

Prediction Summary

21%

23%

56%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

53%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Başakşehir (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate29%

BTTS rate59%

Fenerbahçe (Away)

Goals scored / match2.18

Goals conceded / match1.06

Over 2.5 rate53%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Başakşehir

WWLWD

Fenerbahçe

DWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 76%

59% +1.5 65%

29% +2.5 53%

12% +3.5 18%

6% +4.5 6%

59% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Başakşehir averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Fenerbahçe averages 2.18 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

21%

Draw

23%

Away Win

56%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

53%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Başakşehir(A) 1 - 3 Fenerbahçe Away

Dec 2025 Başakşehir 1 - 1 Fenerbahçe Draw

May 2025 Başakşehir 1 - 4 Fenerbahçe Away

Dec 2024 Başakşehir(A) 1 - 3 Fenerbahçe Away

Jan 2024 Başakşehir 0 - 1 Fenerbahçe Away

In the last 5 meetings, Başakşehir won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Başakşehir — unbeaten run (home)6

Başakşehir — scoring streak (home)3

Fenerbahçe — winless run (away)0

Fenerbahçe — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Başakşehir Win (1)21%

Draw (X)23%

Fenerbahçe Win (2)56%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 76%

59% +1.5 65%

29% +2.5 53%

12% +3.5 18%

6% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 24%

41% -1.5 35%

71% -2.5 47%

88% -3.5 82%

94% -4.5 94%

Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Başakşehir — scored (home)1.94

Başakşehir — conceded (home)1

Fenerbahçe — scored (away)2.18

Fenerbahçe — conceded (away)1.06

Model expected combined goals2.82

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%

No47%

Rate per Team

Başakşehir — BTTS matches (home)59%

Fenerbahçe — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.583%

Under 6.517%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.565%

Under 8.535%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.544%

Under 10.556%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Başakşehir (home)

Corners for4.4

Corners against4.5

Fenerbahçe (away)

Corners for6.4

Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Başakşehir

13 8 12 7 9

Fenerbahçe

10 10 12 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Başakşehir (home)

For2.2

Fenerbahçe (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Başakşehir — total shots (home)13.4

Fenerbahçe — total shots (away)14.7

Shots on Target

Başakşehir — on target (home)5.1

Fenerbahçe — on target (away)5.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Başakşehir

Inside the box9.41

Outside the box4.09

Fenerbahçe

Inside the box10.03

Outside the box7.12

Player Shots Başakşehir

E. Shomurodov

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target82%

+1.5 On Target41%

Y. Sarı

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target24%

D. Selke

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target21%

A. Fayzullaev

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target10%

B. Yıldırım

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Fenerbahçe

Talisca

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target77%

+1.5 On Target50%

Marco Asensio

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target28%

Y. En-Nesyri

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target25%

K. Aktürkoğlu

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target24%

N. Dorgeles

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Başakşehir xG (home)1.58

Fenerbahçe xG (away)1.91

Average Possession

54.44% Possession 58.97%

Team Comparison Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe

83.5% Pass accuracy 84.97%

435.29 Passes per match 485.26

0.06 Goals prevented -0.01

13.35 Fouls committed 11.97

3.12 Goalkeeper saves 2.38

1.36 Offsides 1.79

12.82 Tackles per match 17.5

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe prediction analysis

Review Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights