What markets are included in the Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor

Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2026-08-16 17:00

Başakşehir

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

46%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Kocaelispor

Away

Prediction Summary

58%

24%

18%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS No

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Başakşehir (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate29%

BTTS rate59%

Kocaelispor (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Başakşehir

WWLWD

Kocaelispor

LLDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 47%

59% +1.5 12%

29% +2.5 6%

12% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

59% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Medium.

Başakşehir averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Kocaelispor averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

58%

Draw

24%

Away Win

18%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

46%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2026 Başakşehir(A) 0 - 0 Kocaelispor Draw

Oct 2025 Başakşehir 1 - 0 Kocaelispor Home

In the last 2 meetings, Başakşehir won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Başakşehir — unbeaten run (home)6

Başakşehir — scoring streak (home)3

Kocaelispor — winless run (away)5

Kocaelispor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Başakşehir Win (1)58%

Draw (X)24%

Kocaelispor Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 47%

59% +1.5 12%

29% +2.5 6%

12% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 53%

41% -1.5 88%

71% -2.5 94%

88% -3.5 100%

94% -4.5 100%

Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Başakşehir — scored (home)1.94

Başakşehir — conceded (home)1

Kocaelispor — scored (away)0.65

Kocaelispor — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.53

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%

No54%

Rate per Team

Başakşehir — BTTS matches (home)59%

Kocaelispor — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%

Under 8.544%

Over 9.545%

Under 9.555%

Over 10.536%

Under 10.564%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Başakşehir (home)

Corners for4.4

Corners against4.5

Kocaelispor (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Başakşehir

13 8 12 7 9

Kocaelispor

9 3 11 6 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Başakşehir (home)

For2.2

Kocaelispor (away)

For2.6

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.570%

Under 19.530%

Over 22.555%

Under 22.545%

Over 25.541%

Under 25.559%

Expected total shots24.33

Başakşehir

Shots Over 9.577%

Shots Over 11.562%

Shots Over 13.547%

Expected shots13.61

On Target Over 3.563%

On Target Over 4.547%

On Target Over 5.533%

Expected on target4.63

Kocaelispor

Shots Over 9.557%

Shots Over 11.539%

Shots Over 13.525%

Expected shots10.72

On Target Over 3.543%

On Target Over 4.527%

On Target Over 5.516%

Expected on target3.43

Shots per Game

Başakşehir — total shots (home)13.4

Kocaelispor — total shots (away)8.2

Shots on Target

Başakşehir — on target (home)5.1

Kocaelispor — on target (away)2.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Başakşehir

Inside the box9.41

Outside the box4.09

Kocaelispor

Inside the box6.32

Outside the box3.76

Player Shots Başakşehir

E. Shomurodov

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target82%

+1.5 On Target41%

Y. Sarı

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target24%

D. Selke

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target21%

A. Fayzullaev

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target10%

B. Yıldırım

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Kocaelispor

B. Petković

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target11%

T. Bingöl

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target13%

D. Agyei

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target10%

K. Linetty

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target12%

S. Dursun

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Başakşehir xG (home)1.58

Kocaelispor xG (away)0.88

Average Possession

54.44% Possession 49.65%

Team Comparison Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor

83.5% Pass accuracy 79.03%

435.29 Passes per match 373.65

0.06 Goals prevented -0.02

13.35 Fouls committed 14.74

3.12 Goalkeeper saves 2.12

1.36 Offsides 2.27

12.82 Tackles per match 13.88

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor prediction and preview

Preview Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights