Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Başakşehir vs Trabzonspor

Başakşehir vs Trabzonspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-11-24 17:00
Başakşehir
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
32%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Trabzonspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
29%
X
31%
2
40%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS No
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Başakşehir (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate59%

Trabzonspor (Away)

Goals scored / match1.88
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Başakşehir
WWLWD
Trabzonspor
LWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 88%
59% +1.5 59%
29% +2.5 29%
12% +3.5 12%
6% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Başakşehir averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Trabzonspor averages 1.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
29%
Draw
31%
Away Win
40%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
40%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Başakşehir(A) 1 - 1 Trabzonspor Draw
Mar 2026 Başakşehir 2 - 4 Trabzonspor Away
Nov 2025 Başakşehir 3 - 4 Trabzonspor Away
Mar 2025 Başakşehir 0 - 3 Trabzonspor Away
Oct 2024 Başakşehir(A) 0 - 1 Trabzonspor Away

In the last 5 meetings, Başakşehir won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Başakşehir — unbeaten run (home)6
Başakşehir — scoring streak (home)3
Trabzonspor — winless run (away)0
Trabzonspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Başakşehir Win (1)29%
Draw (X)31%
Trabzonspor Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 88%
59% +1.5 59%
29% +2.5 29%
12% +3.5 12%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 12%
41% -1.5 41%
71% -2.5 71%
88% -3.5 88%
94% -4.5 100%

Başakşehir vs Trabzonspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Başakşehir — scored (home)1.94
Başakşehir — conceded (home)1
Trabzonspor — scored (away)1.88
Trabzonspor — conceded (away)1.24
Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%
No60%

Rate per Team

Başakşehir — BTTS matches (home)59%
Trabzonspor — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)65%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.583%
Under 6.517%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Başakşehir (home)

Corners for4.4
Corners against4.5

Trabzonspor (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Başakşehir
13 8 12 7 9
Trabzonspor
13 12 7 9 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Başakşehir (home)

For2.2

Trabzonspor (away)

For1.4

Shots per Game

Başakşehir — total shots (home)13.4
Trabzonspor — total shots (away)13.9

Shots on Target

Başakşehir — on target (home)5.1
Trabzonspor — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Başakşehir

Inside the box9.41
Outside the box4.09

Trabzonspor

Inside the box9.15
Outside the box5.76

Player Shots Başakşehir

E. Shomurodov
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target82%
+1.5 On Target41%
Y. Sarı
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target24%
D. Selke
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Fayzullaev
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Yıldırım
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Trabzonspor

P. Onuachu
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target77%
+1.5 On Target43%
E. Muçi
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target31%
Felipe Augusto
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target22%
O. Zubkov
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Olaigbe
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Başakşehir xG (home)1.58
Trabzonspor xG (away)1.48

Average Possession

54.44% Possession 54.76%

Team Comparison Başakşehir vs Trabzonspor

83.5% Pass accuracy 85.32%
435.29 Passes per match 444.41
0.06 Goals prevented -0.1
13.35 Fouls committed 12.12
3.12 Goalkeeper saves 2.79
1.36 Offsides 1.76
12.82 Tackles per match 15.41

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Başakşehir vs Trabzonspor prediction analysis

Review Başakşehir vs Trabzonspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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