Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Heidenheim

Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Heidenheim prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-11-08 14:30
Bayer Leverkusen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
1. FC Heidenheim
Away

Prediction Summary

1
67%
X
21%
2
12%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS No
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Bayer Leverkusen (Home)

Goals scored / match2.24
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate65%

1. FC Heidenheim (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match2.06
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bayer Leverkusen
DLWWL
1. FC Heidenheim
LWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 65%
47% +1.5 29%
29% +2.5 12%
24% +3.5 0%
12% +4.5 0%
65% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Medium.

Bayer Leverkusen averages 2.24 goals scored at home, while 1. FC Heidenheim averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
67%
Draw
21%
Away Win
12%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
41%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Bayer Leverkusen(A) 3 - 3 1. FC Heidenheim Draw
Nov 2025 Bayer Leverkusen 6 - 0 1. FC Heidenheim Home
Apr 2025 Bayer Leverkusen(A) 1 - 0 1. FC Heidenheim Home
Nov 2024 Bayer Leverkusen 5 - 2 1. FC Heidenheim Home
Feb 2024 Bayer Leverkusen(A) 2 - 1 1. FC Heidenheim Home

In the last 5 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Bayer Leverkusen — unbeaten run (home)2
Bayer Leverkusen — scoring streak (home)17
1. FC Heidenheim — winless run (away)0
1. FC Heidenheim — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bayer Leverkusen Win (1)67%
Draw (X)21%
1. FC Heidenheim Win (2)12%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 65%
47% +1.5 29%
29% +2.5 12%
24% +3.5 0%
12% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 35%
53% -1.5 71%
71% -2.5 88%
76% -3.5 100%
88% -4.5 100%

Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Heidenheim — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bayer Leverkusen — scored (home)2.24
Bayer Leverkusen — conceded (home)1.12
1. FC Heidenheim — scored (away)1.06
1. FC Heidenheim — conceded (away)2.06
Model expected combined goals2.55

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%
No59%

Rate per Team

Bayer Leverkusen — BTTS matches (home)65%
1. FC Heidenheim — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)65%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bayer Leverkusen (home)

Corners for6.7
Corners against3.3

1. FC Heidenheim (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bayer Leverkusen
15 7 10 13 11
1. FC Heidenheim
9 12 18 10 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Bayer Leverkusen (home)

For1.9

1. FC Heidenheim (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

Bayer Leverkusen — total shots (home)18.6
1. FC Heidenheim — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

Bayer Leverkusen — on target (home)6.5
1. FC Heidenheim — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bayer Leverkusen

Inside the box9.79
Outside the box5.38

1. FC Heidenheim

Inside the box7.88
Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Bayer Leverkusen

P. Schick
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target46%
Álex Grimaldo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target17%
Christian Kofane
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target21%
I. Maza
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target21%
N. Tella
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots 1. FC Heidenheim

B. Zivzivadze
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
E. Dinkçi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Ibrahimović
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target16%
S. Schimmer
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target4%
M. Pieringer
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bayer Leverkusen xG (home)1.93
1. FC Heidenheim xG (away)1.41

Average Possession

59.18% Possession 42.26%

Team Comparison Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Heidenheim

87.68% Pass accuracy 75.88%
605.44 Passes per match 362.38
0.16 Goals prevented -0.01
8.59 Fouls committed 9.82
3.53 Goalkeeper saves 3.38
1.34 Offsides 2.06
14.06 Tackles per match 15.41

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Heidenheim prediction analysis

Review Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Heidenheim with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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