What markets are included in the Bayer Leverkusen vs AC Milan prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Bayer Leverkusen vs AC Milan prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Bayer Leverkusen vs AC Milan

Bayer Leverkusen vs AC Milan prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2024-10-01 19:00

Bayer Leverkusen

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

46%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-0

AC Milan

Away

Prediction Summary

54%

25%

21%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS No

53%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Bayer Leverkusen (Home)

Goals scored / match1.8

Goals conceded / match0.4

Over 2.5 rate20%

BTTS rate0%

AC Milan (Away)

Goals scored / match1.4

Goals conceded / match1.4

Over 2.5 rate40%

BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bayer Leverkusen

LLWLW

AC Milan

DLLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 60%

40% +1.5 40%

20% +2.5 40%

20% +3.5 0%

20% +4.5 0%

0% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Bayer Leverkusen averages 1.8 goals scored at home, while AC Milan averages 1.4 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

54%

Draw

25%

Away Win

21%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

47%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2024 Bayer Leverkusen 1 - 0 AC Milan Home

In the last 1 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Bayer Leverkusen — unbeaten run (home)0

Bayer Leverkusen — scoring streak (home)0

AC Milan — winless run (away)2

AC Milan — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bayer Leverkusen Win (1)54%

Draw (X)25%

AC Milan Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 60%

40% +1.5 40%

20% +2.5 40%

20% +3.5 0%

20% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 40%

60% -1.5 60%

80% -2.5 60%

80% -3.5 100%

80% -4.5 100%

Bayer Leverkusen vs AC Milan — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bayer Leverkusen — scored (home)1.8

Bayer Leverkusen — conceded (home)0.4

AC Milan — scored (away)1.4

AC Milan — conceded (away)1.4

Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%

No53%

Rate per Team

Bayer Leverkusen — BTTS matches (home)0%

AC Milan — BTTS matches (away)60%

Combined (simple average)30%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%

Under 4.510%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.590%

Under 6.510%

Over 7.590%

Under 7.510%

Over 8.590%

Under 8.510%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.550%

Under 10.550%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bayer Leverkusen (home)

Corners for7.6

Corners against3.2

AC Milan (away)

Corners for5.4

Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bayer Leverkusen

4 7 12 6 20

AC Milan

10 9 9 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.590%

Under 2.510%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Bayer Leverkusen (home)

For1.8

AC Milan (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Bayer Leverkusen — total shots (home)21.0

AC Milan — total shots (away)14.2

Shots on Target

Bayer Leverkusen — on target (home)8.0

AC Milan — on target (away)6.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bayer Leverkusen

Inside the box9.5

Outside the box5.7

AC Milan

Inside the box8.9

Outside the box6

Player Shots Bayer Leverkusen

Álex Grimaldo

Shots on Target/Game2.2

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target20%

V. Boniface

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

A. Adli

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target20%

F. Wirtz

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target89%

+1.5 On Target56%

N. Tella

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots AC Milan

F. Camarda

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Rafael Leão

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target30%

C. Pulišić

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target78%

+1.5 On Target33%

T. Abraham

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target11%

T. Reijnders

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bayer Leverkusen xG (home)1.5

AC Milan xG (away)1.37

Average Possession

56.3% Possession 53.1%

Team Comparison Bayer Leverkusen vs AC Milan

87.1% Pass accuracy 87.5%

582.7 Passes per match 484.8

-0.17 Goals prevented -0.11

11.8 Fouls committed 10.6

2.2 Goalkeeper saves 4.1

1.4 Offsides 1.4

14.6 Tackles per match 14.9

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bayer Leverkusen vs AC Milan prediction analysis

Review Bayer Leverkusen vs AC Milan with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights