Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Bayer Leverkusen vs Inter

Bayer Leverkusen vs Inter prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2024-12-10 20:00
Bayer Leverkusen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
40%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Inter
Away

Prediction Summary

1
55%
X
26%
2
19%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Bayer Leverkusen (Home)

Goals scored / match1.8
Goals conceded / match0.4
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate0%

Inter (Away)

Goals scored / match1.13
Goals conceded / match1.25
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate25%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bayer Leverkusen
LLWLW
Inter
LWDDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 63%
40% +1.5 38%
20% +2.5 13%
20% +3.5 0%
20% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 25%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Bayer Leverkusen averages 1.8 goals scored at home, while Inter averages 1.13 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
55%
Draw
26%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 2

Dec 2024 Bayer Leverkusen 1 - 0 Inter Home
Aug 2020 Bayer Leverkusen(A) 1 - 2 Inter Away

In the last 2 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Bayer Leverkusen — unbeaten run (home)0
Bayer Leverkusen — scoring streak (home)0
Inter — winless run (away)2
Inter — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bayer Leverkusen Win (1)55%
Draw (X)26%
Inter Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 63%
40% +1.5 38%
20% +2.5 13%
20% +3.5 0%
20% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 37%
60% -1.5 62%
80% -2.5 87%
80% -3.5 100%
80% -4.5 100%

Bayer Leverkusen vs Inter — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bayer Leverkusen — scored (home)1.8
Bayer Leverkusen — conceded (home)0.4
Inter — scored (away)1.13
Inter — conceded (away)1.25
Model expected combined goals2.29

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

Bayer Leverkusen — BTTS matches (home)0%
Inter — BTTS matches (away)25%
Combined (simple average)12.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.584%
Under 4.516%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.572%
Under 6.528%
Over 7.559%
Under 7.541%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.533%
Under 9.567%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bayer Leverkusen (home)

Corners for7.6
Corners against3.2

Inter (away)

Corners for2.6
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bayer Leverkusen
4 7 12 6 20
Inter
6 11 9 12 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.578%
Under 2.522%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Bayer Leverkusen (home)

For1.8

Inter (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Bayer Leverkusen — total shots (home)21.0
Inter — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Bayer Leverkusen — on target (home)8.0
Inter — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bayer Leverkusen

Inside the box9.5
Outside the box5.7

Inter

Inside the box8.4
Outside the box3.73

Player Shots Bayer Leverkusen

Álex Grimaldo
Shots on Target/Game2.2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
V. Boniface
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Adli
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
F. Wirtz
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target89%
+1.5 On Target56%
N. Tella
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Inter

N. Barella
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
Lautaro Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target36%
D. Dumfries
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Arnautović
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Darmian
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bayer Leverkusen xG (home)1.5
Inter xG (away)1.65

Average Possession

56.3% Possession 46.73%

Team Comparison Bayer Leverkusen vs Inter

87.1% Pass accuracy 83.6%
582.7 Passes per match 469.47
-0.17 Goals prevented -0.24
11.8 Fouls committed 9.53
2.2 Goalkeeper saves 3.73
1.4 Offsides 2.8
14.6 Tackles per match 13.87

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bayer Leverkusen vs Inter prediction analysis

Review Bayer Leverkusen vs Inter with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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