Prediction Analysis: Bayer Leverkusen vs Red Bull Salzburg
Bayer Leverkusen vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bayer Leverkusen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Red Bull Salzburg
Away
Prediction Summary
1
51%
X
23%
2
26%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Bayer Leverkusen (Home)
Goals scored / match1.8
Goals conceded / match0.4
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate0%
Red Bull Salzburg (Away)
Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match2.83
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate50%
Team Form last 5 matches
Bayer Leverkusen
LLWLW
Red Bull Salzburg
LLLLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
80%
+0.5
67%
40%
+1.5
50%
20%
+2.5
33%
20%
+3.5
0%
20%
+4.5
0%
0%
BTTS
50%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.
Bayer Leverkusen averages 1.8 goals scored at home, while Red Bull Salzburg averages 1.5 goals scored away.
Model Strength
58%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
51%
Draw
23%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
Head-to-Head last 1
Nov 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
5 - 0
Red Bull Salzburg
Home
In the last 1 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Bayer Leverkusen — unbeaten run (home)0
Bayer Leverkusen — scoring streak (home)0
Red Bull Salzburg — winless run (away)2
Red Bull Salzburg — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Bayer Leverkusen Win (1)51%
Draw (X)23%
Red Bull Salzburg Win (2)26%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
80%
+0.5
67%
40%
+1.5
50%
20%
+2.5
33%
20%
+3.5
0%
20%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
20%
-0.5
33%
60%
-1.5
50%
80%
-2.5
67%
80%
-3.5
100%
80%
-4.5
100%
Bayer Leverkusen vs Red Bull Salzburg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Bayer Leverkusen — scored (home)1.8
Bayer Leverkusen — conceded (home)0.4
Red Bull Salzburg — scored (away)1.5
Red Bull Salzburg — conceded (away)2.83
Model expected combined goals2.98
Both Teams To Score
Yes58%
No42%
Rate per Team
Bayer Leverkusen — BTTS matches (home)0%
Red Bull Salzburg — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)25%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00
Per-Team Corners own matches
Bayer Leverkusen (home)
Corners for7.6
Corners against3.2
Red Bull Salzburg (away)
Corners for3.2
Corners against6.0
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Bayer Leverkusen
4
7
12
6
20
Red Bull Salzburg
7
9
6
13
9
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7
Yellow Cards per Team
Bayer Leverkusen (home)
For1.8
Red Bull Salzburg (away)
For1.5
Shots per Game
Bayer Leverkusen — total shots (home)21.0
Red Bull Salzburg — total shots (away)10.2
Shots on Target
Bayer Leverkusen — on target (home)8.0
Red Bull Salzburg — on target (away)3.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Bayer Leverkusen
Inside the box9.5
Outside the box5.7
Red Bull Salzburg
Inside the box7.08
Outside the box3.42
Player Shots Bayer Leverkusen
Álex Grimaldo
Shots on Target/Game2.2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
V. Boniface
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Adli
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
F. Wirtz
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target89%
+1.5 On Target56%
N. Tella
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
Player Shots Red Bull Salzburg
M. Kjærgaard
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target60%
A. Daghim
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
K. Konaté
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
O. Gloukh
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Bidstrup
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayer Leverkusen xG (home)1.5
Red Bull Salzburg xG (away)0.85
Average Possession
56.3%
Possession
47.17%
Team Comparison Bayer Leverkusen vs Red Bull Salzburg
87.1%
Pass accuracy
83.75%
582.7
Passes per match
457.83
-0.17
Goals prevented
-0.16
11.8
Fouls committed
11.42
2.2
Goalkeeper saves
3
1.4
Offsides
2.27
14.6
Tackles per match
19.17
League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Bayer Leverkusen vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction analysis
Review Bayer Leverkusen vs Red Bull Salzburg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights