What markets are included in the Bayern München vs Benfica prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Bayern München vs Benfica prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Bayern München vs Benfica

Bayern München vs Benfica prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2024-11-06 20:00

Bayern München

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

60%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Benfica

Away

Prediction Summary

55%

22%

23%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Yes

59%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Bayern München (Home)

Goals scored / match2.71

Goals conceded / match0.86

Over 2.5 rate43%

BTTS rate57%

Benfica (Away)

Goals scored / match1.5

Goals conceded / match1.17

Over 2.5 rate17%

BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bayern München

DLWWD

Benfica

LLDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 83%

43% +1.5 50%

43% +2.5 17%

14% +3.5 0%

14% +4.5 0%

57% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Bayern München averages 2.71 goals scored at home, while Benfica averages 1.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

55%

Draw

22%

Away Win

23%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Yes

59%

Head-to-Head last 3

Nov 2024 Bayern München 1 - 0 Benfica Home

Nov 2021 Bayern München 5 - 2 Benfica Home

Oct 2021 Bayern München(A) 4 - 0 Benfica Home

In the last 3 meetings, Bayern München won 3, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Bayern München — unbeaten run (home)0

Bayern München — scoring streak (home)7

Benfica — winless run (away)1

Benfica — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bayern München Win (1)55%

Draw (X)22%

Benfica Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 83%

43% +1.5 50%

43% +2.5 17%

14% +3.5 0%

14% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 17%

57% -1.5 50%

57% -2.5 83%

86% -3.5 100%

86% -4.5 100%

Bayern München vs Benfica — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bayern München — scored (home)2.71

Bayern München — conceded (home)0.86

Benfica — scored (away)1.5

Benfica — conceded (away)1.17

Model expected combined goals3.12

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%

No41%

Rate per Team

Bayern München — BTTS matches (home)57%

Benfica — BTTS matches (away)50%

Combined (simple average)53.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.5100%

Under 5.50%

Over 6.586%

Under 6.514%

Over 7.563%

Under 7.537%

Over 8.555%

Under 8.545%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.523%

Under 10.577%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bayern München (home)

Corners for7.4

Corners against1.0

Benfica (away)

Corners for4.0

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bayern München

7 6 20 6 11

Benfica

10 9 5 17 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.593%

Under 0.57%

Over 1.577%

Under 1.523%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Bayern München (home)

For1.2

Benfica (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Bayern München — total shots (home)23.7

Benfica — total shots (away)12.7

Shots on Target

Bayern München — on target (home)9.7

Benfica — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bayern München

Inside the box13.43

Outside the box7.07

Benfica

Inside the box10

Outside the box4.33

Player Shots Bayern München

H. Kane

Shots on Target/Game2.1

+0.5 On Target92%

+1.5 On Target54%

L. Sané

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target23%

J. Musiala

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target25%

M. Tel

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

T. Müller

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Benfica

V. Pavlidis

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target83%

+1.5 On Target50%

K. Aktürkoğlu

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

O. Kökçü

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

Z. Amdouni

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Á. Di María

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target22%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bayern München xG (home)2.44

Benfica xG (away)2.01

Average Possession

64.86% Possession 44.33%

Team Comparison Bayern München vs Benfica

88.36% Pass accuracy 80.08%

645.57 Passes per match 407.25

-0.03 Goals prevented 0.22

9.64 Fouls committed 10.83

1.64 Goalkeeper saves 3.58

1.62 Offsides 3.08

16.36 Tackles per match 21.75

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bayern München vs Benfica prediction analysis

Review Bayern München vs Benfica with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights