What markets are included in the Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund

Q: How is the Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Bundesliga 2025-10-18 16:30

Bayern München

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

79%

Confidence

High

Score

2-1

Borussia Dortmund

Away

Prediction Summary

74%

14%

12%

Over 2.5

79%

BTTS Yes

65%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Bayern München (Home)

Goals scored / match4

Goals conceded / match1.12

Over 2.5 rate82%

BTTS rate71%

Borussia Dortmund (Away)

Goals scored / match1.76

Goals conceded / match1.06

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bayern München

WWDWW

Borussia Dortmund

WWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 94%

94% +1.5 65%

82% +2.5 18%

59% +3.5 0%

35% +4.5 0%

71% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 79%. Model confidence is High.

Bayern München averages 4 goals scored at home, while Borussia Dortmund averages 1.76 goals scored away.

Model Strength

79%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

74%

Draw

14%

Away Win

12%

Over 2.5

79%

BTTS Yes

65%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Bayern München(A) 3 - 2 Borussia Dortmund Home

Oct 2025 Bayern München 2 - 1 Borussia Dortmund Home

Apr 2025 Bayern München 2 - 2 Borussia Dortmund Draw

Nov 2024 Bayern München(A) 1 - 1 Borussia Dortmund Draw

Mar 2024 Bayern München 0 - 2 Borussia Dortmund Away

In the last 5 meetings, Bayern München won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Bayern München — unbeaten run (home)7

Bayern München — scoring streak (home)17

Borussia Dortmund — winless run (away)0

Borussia Dortmund — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bayern München Win (1)74%

Draw (X)14%

Borussia Dortmund Win (2)12%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 94%

94% +1.5 65%

82% +2.5 18%

59% +3.5 0%

35% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 6%

6% -1.5 35%

18% -2.5 82%

41% -3.5 100%

65% -4.5 100%

Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bayern München — scored (home)4

Bayern München — conceded (home)1.12

Borussia Dortmund — scored (away)1.76

Borussia Dortmund — conceded (away)1.06

Model expected combined goals4.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%

No35%

Rate per Team

Bayern München — BTTS matches (home)71%

Borussia Dortmund — BTTS matches (away)59%

Combined (simple average)65%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.597%

Under 5.53%

Over 6.594%

Under 6.56%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.545%

Under 9.555%

Over 10.536%

Under 10.564%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bayern München (home)

Corners for7.6

Corners against3.1

Borussia Dortmund (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bayern München

14 8 18 9 10

Borussia Dortmund

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.582%

Under 1.518%

Over 2.559%

Under 2.541%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Bayern München (home)

For1.4

Borussia Dortmund (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Bayern München — total shots (home)21.5

Borussia Dortmund — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Bayern München — on target (home)8.9

Borussia Dortmund — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bayern München

Inside the box12.97

Outside the box6.21

Borussia Dortmund

Inside the box9.68

Outside the box3.38

Player Shots Bayern München

H. Kane

Shots on Target/Game2.2

+0.5 On Target87%

+1.5 On Target55%

M. Olise

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target81%

+1.5 On Target47%

L. Díaz

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target69%

+1.5 On Target31%

N. Jackson

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target13%

S. Gnabry

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target27%

S. Inacio

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target14%

M. Beier

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target19%

J. Brandt

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target14%

K. Adeyemi

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bayern München xG (home)2.96

Borussia Dortmund xG (away)1.88

Average Possession

67.44% Possession 53.24%

Team Comparison Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund

89.88% Pass accuracy 83.21%

700.91 Passes per match 493.21

-0.3 Goals prevented 0.14

8.79 Fouls committed 11.71

2.03 Goalkeeper saves 2.62

2.44 Offsides 1.18

12.79 Tackles per match 14.44

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund prediction analysis

Review Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights