Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Bayern München vs Dinamo Zagreb

Bayern München vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2024-09-17 19:00
Bayern München
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
77%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Dinamo Zagreb
Away

Prediction Summary

1
64%
X
17%
2
19%
Over 2.5
77%
BTTS Yes
71%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Bayern München (Home)

Goals scored / match2.71
Goals conceded / match0.86
Over 2.5 rate43%
BTTS rate57%

Dinamo Zagreb (Away)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match2.6
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bayern München
DLWWD
Dinamo Zagreb
WLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 80%
43% +1.5 80%
43% +2.5 20%
14% +3.5 20%
14% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 77%. Model confidence is High.

Bayern München averages 2.71 goals scored at home, while Dinamo Zagreb averages 2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
77%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
64%
Draw
17%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
77%
BTTS Yes
71%

Head-to-Head last 1

Sep 2024 Bayern München 9 - 2 Dinamo Zagreb Home

In the last 1 meetings, Bayern München won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Bayern München — unbeaten run (home)0
Bayern München — scoring streak (home)7
Dinamo Zagreb — winless run (away)1
Dinamo Zagreb — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bayern München Win (1)64%
Draw (X)17%
Dinamo Zagreb Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 80%
43% +1.5 80%
43% +2.5 20%
14% +3.5 20%
14% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 20%
57% -1.5 20%
57% -2.5 80%
86% -3.5 80%
86% -4.5 100%

Bayern München vs Dinamo Zagreb — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bayern München — scored (home)2.71
Bayern München — conceded (home)0.86
Dinamo Zagreb — scored (away)2
Dinamo Zagreb — conceded (away)2.6
Model expected combined goals4.09

Both Teams To Score

Yes71%
No29%

Rate per Team

Bayern München — BTTS matches (home)57%
Dinamo Zagreb — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)48.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.586%
Under 6.514%
Over 7.572%
Under 7.528%
Over 8.572%
Under 8.528%
Over 9.572%
Under 9.528%
Over 10.555%
Under 10.545%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bayern München (home)

Corners for7.4
Corners against1.0

Dinamo Zagreb (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against9.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bayern München
7 6 20 6 11
Dinamo Zagreb
14 11 14 14 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.593%
Under 0.57%
Over 1.576%
Under 1.524%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Bayern München (home)

For1.2

Dinamo Zagreb (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

Bayern München — total shots (home)23.7
Dinamo Zagreb — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

Bayern München — on target (home)9.7
Dinamo Zagreb — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bayern München

Inside the box13.43
Outside the box7.07

Dinamo Zagreb

Inside the box6.2
Outside the box4.1

Player Shots Bayern München

H. Kane
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target92%
+1.5 On Target54%
L. Sané
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Musiala
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Tel
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
T. Müller
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Dinamo Zagreb

S. Kulenović
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Rog
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
D. Špikić
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
M. Pjaca
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Mmaee
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bayern München xG (home)2.44
Dinamo Zagreb xG (away)0.86

Average Possession

64.86% Possession 38.5%

Team Comparison Bayern München vs Dinamo Zagreb

88.36% Pass accuracy 78.1%
645.57 Passes per match 337
-0.03 Goals prevented -0.34
9.64 Fouls committed 11.5
1.64 Goalkeeper saves 3.5
1.62 Offsides 1.5
16.36 Tackles per match 18.9

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bayern München vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction analysis

Review Bayern München vs Dinamo Zagreb with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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