Prediction Analysis: Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart
Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2026-08-28
18:30
Bayern München
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
85%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
VfB Stuttgart
Away
Prediction Summary
1
62%
X
16%
2
21%
Over 2.5
85%
BTTS Yes
79%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
Bayern München (Home)
Goals scored / match4
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate82%
BTTS rate71%
VfB Stuttgart (Away)
Goals scored / match2.41
Goals conceded / match1.94
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate82%
Team Form last 5 matches
Bayern München
WWDWW
VfB Stuttgart
DWDDL
Goals Comparison rate per team
100%
+0.5
100%
94%
+1.5
71%
82%
+2.5
47%
59%
+3.5
18%
35%
+4.5
6%
71%
BTTS
82%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 85%. Model confidence is High.
Bayern München averages 4 goals scored at home, while VfB Stuttgart averages 2.41 goals scored away.
Model Strength
85%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
62%
Draw
16%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
85%
BTTS Yes
79%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
Bayern München
3 - 0
VfB Stuttgart
Home
Apr 2026
Bayern München
4 - 2
VfB Stuttgart
Home
Dec 2025
Bayern München(A)
5 - 0
VfB Stuttgart
Home
Feb 2025
Bayern München(A)
3 - 1
VfB Stuttgart
Home
Oct 2024
Bayern München
4 - 0
VfB Stuttgart
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Bayern München won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Bayern München — unbeaten run (home)7
Bayern München — scoring streak (home)17
VfB Stuttgart — winless run (away)3
VfB Stuttgart — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Bayern München Win (1)62%
Draw (X)16%
VfB Stuttgart Win (2)21%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
100%
+0.5
100%
94%
+1.5
71%
82%
+2.5
47%
59%
+3.5
18%
35%
+4.5
6%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
0%
-0.5
0%
6%
-1.5
29%
18%
-2.5
53%
41%
-3.5
82%
65%
-4.5
94%
Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Bayern München — scored (home)4
Bayern München — conceded (home)1.12
VfB Stuttgart — scored (away)2.41
VfB Stuttgart — conceded (away)1.94
Model expected combined goals4.74
Both Teams To Score
Yes79%
No21%
Rate per Team
Bayern München — BTTS matches (home)71%
VfB Stuttgart — BTTS matches (away)82%
Combined (simple average)76.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.80
Per-Team Corners own matches
Bayern München (home)
Corners for7.6
Corners against3.1
VfB Stuttgart (away)
Corners for5.5
Corners against4.5
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Bayern München
14
8
18
9
10
VfB Stuttgart
14
16
9
13
12
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.550%
Under 2.550%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3
Yellow Cards per Team
Bayern München (home)
For1.4
VfB Stuttgart (away)
For1.9
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.581%
Under 19.519%
Over 22.569%
Under 22.531%
Over 25.556%
Under 25.544%
Expected total shots27.75
Bayern München
Shots Over 9.589%
Shots Over 11.580%
Shots Over 13.568%
Expected shots16.80
On Target Over 3.584%
On Target Over 4.572%
On Target Over 5.559%
Expected on target6.48
VfB Stuttgart
Shots Over 9.559%
Shots Over 11.541%
Shots Over 13.526%
Expected shots10.95
On Target Over 3.556%
On Target Over 4.539%
On Target Over 5.525%
Expected on target4.13
Shots per Game
Bayern München — total shots (home)21.5
VfB Stuttgart — total shots (away)13.8
Shots on Target
Bayern München — on target (home)8.9
VfB Stuttgart — on target (away)6.0
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Bayern München
Inside the box12.97
Outside the box6.21
VfB Stuttgart
Inside the box10
Outside the box5.24
Player Shots Bayern München
H. Kane
Shots on Target/Game2.2
+0.5 On Target87%
+1.5 On Target55%
M. Olise
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target81%
+1.5 On Target47%
L. Díaz
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target31%
N. Jackson
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Gnabry
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target19%
Player Shots VfB Stuttgart
D. Undav
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target48%
E. Demirović
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target20%
C. Führich
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target18%
B. El Khannouss
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target16%
J. Leweling
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayern München xG (home)2.96
VfB Stuttgart xG (away)1.77
Average Possession
67.44%
Possession
57.68%
Team Comparison Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart
89.88%
Pass accuracy
83.71%
700.91
Passes per match
517.09
-0.3
Goals prevented
0.29
8.79
Fouls committed
9.62
2.03
Goalkeeper saves
3.21
2.44
Offsides
2.16
12.79
Tackles per match
14.24
League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart prediction analysis
Review Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights