What markets are included in the Bayern München vs VfL Wolfsburg prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Bayern München vs VfL Wolfsburg prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Bayern München vs VfL Wolfsburg

Bayern München vs VfL Wolfsburg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2026-01-11 16:30

Bayern München

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

71%

Confidence

High

Score

2-1

VfL Wolfsburg

Away

Prediction Summary

69%

17%

14%

Over 2.5

71%

BTTS Yes

61%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Bayern München (Home)

Goals scored / match4

Goals conceded / match1.12

Over 2.5 rate82%

BTTS rate71%

VfL Wolfsburg (Away)

Goals scored / match1.39

Goals conceded / match2.17

Over 2.5 rate22%

BTTS rate78%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bayern München

WWDWW

VfL Wolfsburg

LDWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 83%

94% +1.5 33%

82% +2.5 22%

59% +3.5 0%

35% +4.5 0%

71% BTTS 78%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 71%. Model confidence is High.

Bayern München averages 4 goals scored at home, while VfL Wolfsburg averages 1.39 goals scored away.

Model Strength

71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

69%

Draw

17%

Away Win

14%

Over 2.5

71%

BTTS Yes

61%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Bayern München(A) 1 - 0 VfL Wolfsburg Home

Jan 2026 Bayern München 8 - 1 VfL Wolfsburg Home

Jan 2025 Bayern München 3 - 2 VfL Wolfsburg Home

Aug 2024 Bayern München(A) 3 - 2 VfL Wolfsburg Home

May 2024 Bayern München 2 - 0 VfL Wolfsburg Home

In the last 5 meetings, Bayern München won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Bayern München — unbeaten run (home)7

Bayern München — scoring streak (home)17

VfL Wolfsburg — winless run (away)1

VfL Wolfsburg — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bayern München Win (1)69%

Draw (X)17%

VfL Wolfsburg Win (2)14%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 83%

94% +1.5 33%

82% +2.5 22%

59% +3.5 0%

35% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 17%

6% -1.5 67%

18% -2.5 78%

41% -3.5 100%

65% -4.5 100%

Bayern München vs VfL Wolfsburg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bayern München — scored (home)4

Bayern München — conceded (home)1.12

VfL Wolfsburg — scored (away)1.39

VfL Wolfsburg — conceded (away)2.17

Model expected combined goals3.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%

No39%

Rate per Team

Bayern München — BTTS matches (home)71%

VfL Wolfsburg — BTTS matches (away)78%

Combined (simple average)74.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.5100%

Under 5.50%

Over 6.5100%

Under 6.50%

Over 7.589%

Under 7.511%

Over 8.569%

Under 8.531%

Over 9.566%

Under 9.534%

Over 10.554%

Under 10.546%

Expected total corners (blended average)11.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bayern München (home)

Corners for7.6

Corners against3.1

VfL Wolfsburg (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against9.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bayern München

14 8 18 9 10

VfL Wolfsburg

8 9 17 5 21

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.577%

Under 1.523%

Over 2.554%

Under 2.546%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Bayern München (home)

For1.4

VfL Wolfsburg (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Bayern München — total shots (home)21.5

VfL Wolfsburg — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Bayern München — on target (home)8.9

VfL Wolfsburg — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bayern München

Inside the box12.97

Outside the box6.21

VfL Wolfsburg

Inside the box7.47

Outside the box4.47

Player Shots Bayern München

H. Kane

Shots on Target/Game2.2

+0.5 On Target87%

+1.5 On Target55%

M. Olise

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target81%

+1.5 On Target47%

L. Díaz

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target69%

+1.5 On Target31%

N. Jackson

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target13%

S. Gnabry

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots VfL Wolfsburg

D. Pejčinović

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target22%

K. Shiogai

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target23%

M. Amoura

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target6%

J. Wind

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

C. Eriksen

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bayern München xG (home)2.96

VfL Wolfsburg xG (away)1.41

Average Possession

67.44% Possession 45.44%

Team Comparison Bayern München vs VfL Wolfsburg

89.88% Pass accuracy 78%

700.91 Passes per match 407.64

-0.3 Goals prevented 0.07

8.79 Fouls committed 11.47

2.03 Goalkeeper saves 3.61

2.44 Offsides 1.26

12.79 Tackles per match 16.19

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bayern München vs VfL Wolfsburg prediction analysis

Review Bayern München vs VfL Wolfsburg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights