Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Benevento vs Modena

Benevento vs Modena prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie B 2026-08-22 13:00
Benevento
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Modena
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
28%
2
29%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Benevento (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Modena (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Modena
LLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 63%
0% +1.5 42%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Medium.

Benevento averages 0 goals scored at home, while Modena averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
28%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 2

May 2023 Benevento 2 - 1 Modena Home
Dec 2022 Benevento(A) 1 - 1 Modena Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Benevento won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Modena — winless run (away)6
Modena — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Benevento Win (1)43%
Draw (X)28%
Modena Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 63%
0% +1.5 42%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 37%
100% -1.5 58%
100% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Benevento vs Modena — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Benevento — scored (home)0
Benevento — conceded (home)0
Modena — scored (away)1.11
Modena — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Benevento — BTTS matches (home)0%
Modena — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)21%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Benevento (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Modena (away)

Corners for6.3
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Modena
8 9 6 6 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.537%
Under 2.563%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Benevento (home)

For—

Modena (away)

For2.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.578%
Under 19.522%
Over 22.565%
Under 22.535%
Over 25.551%
Under 25.549%
Expected total shots26.54

Benevento

Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.563%
Shots Over 13.548%
Expected shots13.70
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.39

Modena

Shots Over 9.573%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.541%
Expected shots12.83
On Target Over 3.553%
On Target Over 4.536%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.91

Shots per Game

Benevento — total shots (home)—
Modena — total shots (away)16.2

Shots on Target

Benevento — on target (home)—
Modena — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Benevento

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Modena

Inside the box9.49
Outside the box5.67

Player Shots Benevento

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Modena

S. Nador
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Wiafe
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
D. Adorni
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%
Y. Massolin
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target7%
E. Gliozzi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Benevento xG (home)-
Modena xG (away)1.36

Average Possession

-% Possession 50.44%

Team Comparison Benevento vs Modena

0% Pass accuracy 79.77%
- Passes per match 384.72
- Goals prevented -0.12
- Fouls committed 15.26
- Goalkeeper saves 2.77
- Offsides 1.59
- Tackles per match 15.03

League average xG this season is 1.36 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Benevento vs Modena prediction analysis

Review Benevento vs Modena with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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