Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Benevento vs Sudtirol

Benevento vs Sudtirol prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie B 2026-08-29 13:00
Benevento
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Benevento
Probability
50%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Sudtirol
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
26%
2
24%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Benevento (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Sudtirol (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate55%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sudtirol
DDDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 65%
0% +1.5 20%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 55%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Medium.

Benevento averages 0 goals scored at home, while Sudtirol averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
26%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2023 Benevento 0 - 2 Sudtirol Away
Oct 2022 Benevento(A) 1 - 1 Sudtirol Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Benevento won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Sudtirol — winless run (away)5
Sudtirol — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Benevento Win (1)50%
Draw (X)26%
Sudtirol Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 65%
0% +1.5 20%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 35%
100% -1.5 80%
100% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Benevento vs Sudtirol — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Benevento — scored (home)0
Benevento — conceded (home)0
Sudtirol — scored (away)0.95
Sudtirol — conceded (away)1.35
Model expected combined goals2.43

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Benevento — BTTS matches (home)0%
Sudtirol — BTTS matches (away)55%
Combined (simple average)27.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Benevento (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Sudtirol (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against3.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sudtirol
4 6 10 5 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.548%
Under 0.552%
Over 1.545%
Under 1.555%
Over 2.538%
Under 2.562%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Benevento (home)

For—

Sudtirol (away)

For2.6

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.574%
Under 19.526%
Over 22.560%
Under 22.540%
Over 25.546%
Under 25.554%
Expected total shots25.36

Benevento

Shots Over 9.579%
Shots Over 11.565%
Shots Over 13.549%
Expected shots13.92
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.42

Sudtirol

Shots Over 9.564%
Shots Over 11.546%
Shots Over 13.530%
Expected shots11.44
On Target Over 3.546%
On Target Over 4.529%
On Target Over 5.517%
Expected on target3.55

Shots per Game

Benevento — total shots (home)—
Sudtirol — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Benevento — on target (home)—
Sudtirol — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Benevento

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Sudtirol

Inside the box8.3
Outside the box4.2

Player Shots Benevento

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Sudtirol

R. Odogwu
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target10%
S. Merkaj
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target16%
D. Casiraghi
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
S. Davì
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target3%
E. Pecorino
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Benevento xG (home)-
Sudtirol xG (away)1.06

Average Possession

-% Possession 41.05%

Team Comparison Benevento vs Sudtirol

0% Pass accuracy 65.55%
- Passes per match 292.95
- Goals prevented 0.02
- Fouls committed 16.43
- Goalkeeper saves 2.45
- Offsides 1.86
- Tackles per match 13.33

League average xG this season is 1.36 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Benevento vs Sudtirol prediction analysis

Review Benevento vs Sudtirol with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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