Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Benfica B vs Leixoes

Benfica B vs Leixoes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Segunda Liga 2026-08-09 17:00
Benfica B
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Leixoes
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
26%
2
34%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Benfica B (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate59%

Leixoes (Away)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Benfica B
LLWLL
Leixoes
WWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 76%
35% +1.5 41%
18% +2.5 12%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Benfica B averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Leixoes averages 1.29 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
26%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Benfica B(A) 0 - 0 Leixoes Draw
Aug 2025 Benfica B 1 - 1 Leixoes Draw
Jan 2025 Benfica B 4 - 0 Leixoes Home
Aug 2024 Benfica B(A) 1 - 2 Leixoes Away
Feb 2024 Benfica B 1 - 1 Leixoes Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Benfica B won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Benfica B — unbeaten run (home)0
Benfica B — scoring streak (home)0
Leixoes — winless run (away)0
Leixoes — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Benfica B Win (1)40%
Draw (X)26%
Leixoes Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 76%
35% +1.5 41%
18% +2.5 12%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 24%
65% -1.5 59%
82% -2.5 88%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Benfica B vs Leixoes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Benfica B — scored (home)1.47
Benfica B — conceded (home)1.29
Leixoes — scored (away)1.29
Leixoes — conceded (away)1.35
Model expected combined goals2.71

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Benfica B — BTTS matches (home)59%
Leixoes — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Benfica B (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against4.5

Leixoes (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Benfica B
3 7 0 0 12
Leixoes
0 0 0 0 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.597%
Under 2.53%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Benfica B (home)

For2.6

Leixoes (away)

For3.8

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.538%
Under 19.562%
Over 22.529%
Under 22.571%
Over 25.521%
Under 25.579%
Expected total shots18.22

Benfica B

Shots Over 9.545%
Shots Over 11.533%
Shots Over 13.524%
Expected shots9.91
On Target Over 3.550%
On Target Over 4.534%
On Target Over 5.521%
Expected on target3.81

Leixoes

Shots Over 9.535%
Shots Over 11.523%
Shots Over 13.515%
Expected shots8.30
On Target Over 3.536%
On Target Over 4.521%
On Target Over 5.512%
Expected on target3.03

Shots per Game

Benfica B — total shots (home)14.7
Leixoes — total shots (away)12.7

Shots on Target

Benfica B — on target (home)5.0
Leixoes — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Benfica B

Inside the box8.58
Outside the box4.5

Leixoes

Inside the box8.82
Outside the box5

Player Shots Benfica B

Diogo Ferreira Prioste
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
Gonçalo Carvalho Moreira
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target38%
Henrique Araújo
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%
Rodrigo Miguel Ferreira Rêgo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Leixoes

S. Commey
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
B. Rochez
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
Bica
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target50%
Simãozinho
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
Salvador Agra
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Benfica B xG (home)0
Leixoes xG (away)0

Average Possession

54.17% Possession 50%

Team Comparison Benfica B vs Leixoes

72.91% Pass accuracy 71.7%
379.67 Passes per match 355.82
0 Goals prevented 0
16.33 Fouls committed 15.09
2.25 Goalkeeper saves 2.45
2.17 Offsides 2.6
13.75 Tackles per match 16.75
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Benfica B vs Leixoes prediction analysis

Review Benfica B vs Leixoes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Segunda Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Segunda Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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