Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Benfica vs AVS

Benfica vs AVS prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-04-27 17:00
Benfica
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
AVS
Away

Prediction Summary

1
75%
X
16%
2
9%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Benfica (Home)

Goals scored / match3.06
Goals conceded / match0.71
Over 2.5 rate71%
BTTS rate47%

AVS (Away)

Goals scored / match0.78
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Benfica
DDWWW
AVS
DWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 67%
76% +1.5 11%
71% +2.5 0%
35% +3.5 0%
18% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is High.

Benfica averages 3.06 goals scored at home, while AVS averages 0.78 goals scored away.

Model Strength
75%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
75%
Draw
16%
Away Win
9%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Benfica 3 - 0 AVS Home
Sep 2025 Benfica(A) 3 - 0 AVS Home
Apr 2025 Benfica 6 - 0 AVS Home
Dec 2024 Benfica(A) 1 - 1 AVS Draw
Dec 2023 Benfica 4 - 1 AVS Home

In the last 5 meetings, Benfica won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Benfica — unbeaten run (home)8
Benfica — scoring streak (home)17
AVS — winless run (away)1
AVS — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Benfica Win (1)75%
Draw (X)16%
AVS Win (2)9%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 67%
76% +1.5 11%
71% +2.5 0%
35% +3.5 0%
18% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 33%
24% -1.5 89%
29% -2.5 100%
65% -3.5 100%
82% -4.5 100%

Benfica vs AVS — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Benfica — scored (home)3.06
Benfica — conceded (home)0.71
AVS — scored (away)0.78
AVS — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Benfica — BTTS matches (home)47%
AVS — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)51.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Benfica (home)

Corners for7.7
Corners against3.0

AVS (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Benfica
10 14 6 8 12
AVS
9 7 6 10 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Benfica (home)

For1.6

AVS (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Benfica — total shots (home)19.0
AVS — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

Benfica — on target (home)7.9
AVS — on target (away)2.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Benfica

Inside the box10.65
Outside the box6.21

AVS

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box4.17

Player Shots Benfica

A. Belotti
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
Tiago Gouveia
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target50%
Z. Amdouni
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
Arthur Cabral
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
Á. Di María
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target20%

Player Shots AVS

Samuel Granada
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Zé Luís
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target9%
Vasco Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Benfica xG (home)2.23
AVS xG (away)0.89

Average Possession

58.38% Possession 42.81%

Team Comparison Benfica vs AVS

84.06% Pass accuracy 76.78%
501.68 Passes per match 347.36
-0.07 Goals prevented -0.09
11.76 Fouls committed 14.08
2.29 Goalkeeper saves 3.65
3.11 Offsides 1.5
18.65 Tackles per match 16.25

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Benfica vs AVS prediction analysis

Review Benfica vs AVS with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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