Prediction Analysis: Benfica vs Nice
Benfica vs Nice prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Benfica
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
40%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Nice
Away
Prediction Summary
1
69%
X
21%
2
10%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS No
67%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Benfica (Home)
Goals scored / match1.57
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate29%
Nice (Away)
Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%
Team Form last 5 matches
Benfica
LLWLW
Nice
LL
Goals Comparison rate per team
71%
+0.5
0%
57%
+1.5
0%
14%
+2.5
0%
14%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
29%
BTTS
0%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.
Benfica averages 1.57 goals scored at home, while Nice averages 0 goals scored away.
Model Strength
69%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
69%
Draw
21%
Away Win
10%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Yes
33%
Head-to-Head last 2
Aug 2025
Benfica
2 - 0
Nice
Home
Aug 2025
Benfica(A)
2 - 0
Nice
Home
In the last 2 meetings, Benfica won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Benfica — unbeaten run (home)0
Benfica — scoring streak (home)0
Nice — winless run (away)1
Nice — clean sheets (away, last 1)0 of 1
1X2 Probability model
Benfica Win (1)69%
Draw (X)21%
Nice Win (2)10%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
71%
+0.5
0%
57%
+1.5
0%
14%
+2.5
0%
14%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
29%
-0.5
100%
43%
-1.5
100%
86%
-2.5
100%
86%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Benfica vs Nice — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Benfica — scored (home)1.57
Benfica — conceded (home)1
Nice — scored (away)0
Nice — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.29
Both Teams To Score
Yes33%
No67%
Rate per Team
Benfica — BTTS matches (home)29%
Nice — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)14.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.586%
Under 6.514%
Over 7.586%
Under 7.514%
Over 8.579%
Under 8.521%
Over 9.572%
Under 9.528%
Over 10.572%
Under 10.528%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
Benfica (home)
Corners for5.0
Corners against3.9
Nice (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Benfica
8
11
11
9
11
Nice
9
12
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.593%
Under 0.57%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.593%
Under 2.57%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7
Yellow Cards per Team
Benfica (home)
For1.7
Nice (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Benfica — total shots (home)16.6
Nice — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Benfica — on target (home)5.3
Nice — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Benfica
Inside the box8.71
Outside the box5.07
Nice
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player Shots Benfica
D. Lukebakio
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target50%
K. Aktürkoğlu
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
R. Rios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target0%
V. Pavlidis
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Schjelderup
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
Player Shots Nice
Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Benfica xG (home)1.43
Nice xG (away)-
Average Possession
47.07%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Benfica vs Nice
83.07%
Pass accuracy
0%
434.5
Passes per match
-
-0.14
Goals prevented
-
10.5
Fouls committed
-
3.07
Goalkeeper saves
-
1.46
Offsides
-
17.29
Tackles per match
13.5
League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Benfica vs Nice prediction analysis
Review Benfica vs Nice with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights