What markets are included in the Benfica vs Rio Ave prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Benfica vs Rio Ave prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Benfica vs Rio Ave

Benfica vs Rio Ave prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2024-10-27 18:00

Benfica

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

63%

Confidence

High

Score

2-0

Rio Ave

Away

Prediction Summary

88%

Over 2.5

63%

BTTS No

70%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Benfica (Home)

Goals scored / match3.06

Goals conceded / match0.71

Over 2.5 rate71%

BTTS rate47%

Rio Ave (Away)

Goals scored / match0.82

Goals conceded / match1.82

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Benfica

DDWWW

Rio Ave

DDWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 53%

76% +1.5 24%

71% +2.5 6%

35% +3.5 0%

18% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is High.

Benfica averages 3.06 goals scored at home, while Rio Ave averages 0.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength

88%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

88%

Draw

Away Win

Over 2.5

63%

BTTS Yes

30%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Benfica(A) 2 - 0 Rio Ave Home

Sep 2025 Benfica 1 - 1 Rio Ave Draw

Mar 2025 Benfica(A) 3 - 2 Rio Ave Home

Oct 2024 Benfica 5 - 0 Rio Ave Home

May 2024 Benfica(A) 1 - 1 Rio Ave Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Benfica won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Benfica — unbeaten run (home)8

Benfica — scoring streak (home)17

Rio Ave — winless run (away)2

Rio Ave — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Benfica Win (1)88%

Draw (X)9%

Rio Ave Win (2)3%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 53%

76% +1.5 24%

71% +2.5 6%

35% +3.5 0%

18% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 47%

24% -1.5 76%

29% -2.5 94%

65% -3.5 100%

82% -4.5 100%

Benfica vs Rio Ave — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Benfica — scored (home)3.06

Benfica — conceded (home)0.71

Rio Ave — scored (away)0.82

Rio Ave — conceded (away)1.82

Model expected combined goals3.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes30%

No70%

Rate per Team

Benfica — BTTS matches (home)47%

Rio Ave — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%

Under 4.59%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.568%

Under 8.532%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.538%

Under 10.562%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Benfica (home)

Corners for7.7

Corners against3.0

Rio Ave (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Benfica

10 14 6 8 12

Rio Ave

10 10 8 9 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.588%

Under 1.512%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Benfica (home)

For1.6

Rio Ave (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Benfica — total shots (home)19.0

Rio Ave — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Benfica — on target (home)7.9

Rio Ave — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Benfica

Inside the box10.65

Outside the box6.21

Rio Ave

Inside the box6.79

Outside the box4.26

Player Shots Benfica

A. Belotti

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target21%

Tiago Gouveia

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target50%

Z. Amdouni

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target25%

Arthur Cabral

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target14%

Á. Di María

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target20%

Player Shots Rio Ave

F. Petrasso

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target14%

Clayton

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target35%

Koka

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

E. Tıknaz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

João Novais

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Benfica xG (home)2.23

Rio Ave xG (away)1.07

Average Possession

58.38% Possession 47.71%

Team Comparison Benfica vs Rio Ave

84.06% Pass accuracy 79.59%

501.68 Passes per match 389.88

-0.07 Goals prevented -0.09

11.76 Fouls committed 13.5

2.29 Goalkeeper saves 3.53

3.11 Offsides 2.79

18.65 Tackles per match 17.68

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Benfica vs Rio Ave prediction analysis

Review Benfica vs Rio Ave with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights