What markets are included in the Benfica vs Sporting CP prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Benfica vs Sporting CP prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Benfica vs Sporting CP

Benfica vs Sporting CP prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-05-10 17:00

Benfica

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

73%

Confidence

High

Score

1-1

Sporting CP

Away

Prediction Summary

43%

21%

36%

Over 2.5

73%

BTTS Yes

72%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Benfica (Home)

Goals scored / match3.06

Goals conceded / match0.71

Over 2.5 rate71%

BTTS rate47%

Sporting CP (Away)

Goals scored / match2.82

Goals conceded / match0.82

Over 2.5 rate65%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Benfica

DDWWW

Sporting CP

WDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 94%

76% +1.5 71%

71% +2.5 65%

35% +3.5 29%

18% +4.5 18%

47% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 73%. Model confidence is High.

Benfica averages 3.06 goals scored at home, while Sporting CP averages 2.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength

73%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

43%

Draw

21%

Away Win

36%

Over 2.5

73%

BTTS Yes

72%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Benfica(A) 2 - 1 Sporting CP Home

Dec 2025 Benfica 1 - 1 Sporting CP Draw

May 2025 Benfica 1 - 3 Sporting CP Away

May 2025 Benfica 1 - 1 Sporting CP Draw

Jan 2025 Benfica(A) 1 - 1 Sporting CP Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Benfica won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Benfica — unbeaten run (home)8

Benfica — scoring streak (home)17

Sporting CP — winless run (away)1

Sporting CP — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Benfica Win (1)43%

Draw (X)21%

Sporting CP Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 94%

76% +1.5 71%

71% +2.5 65%

35% +3.5 29%

18% +4.5 18%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 6%

24% -1.5 29%

29% -2.5 35%

65% -3.5 71%

82% -4.5 82%

Benfica vs Sporting CP — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Benfica — scored (home)3.06

Benfica — conceded (home)0.71

Sporting CP — scored (away)2.82

Sporting CP — conceded (away)0.82

Model expected combined goals3.81

Both Teams To Score

Yes72%

No28%

Rate per Team

Benfica — BTTS matches (home)47%

Sporting CP — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.556%

Under 8.544%

Over 9.544%

Under 9.556%

Over 10.533%

Under 10.567%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Benfica (home)

Corners for7.7

Corners against3.0

Sporting CP (away)

Corners for5.4

Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Benfica

10 14 6 8 12

Sporting CP

6 8 11 8 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Benfica (home)

For1.6

Sporting CP (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Benfica — total shots (home)19.0

Sporting CP — total shots (away)17.8

Shots on Target

Benfica — on target (home)7.9

Sporting CP — on target (away)6.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Benfica

Inside the box10.65

Outside the box6.21

Sporting CP

Inside the box12.56

Outside the box5.79

Player Shots Benfica

A. Belotti

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target21%

Tiago Gouveia

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target50%

Z. Amdouni

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target25%

Arthur Cabral

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target14%

Á. Di María

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target20%

Player Shots Sporting CP

V. Gyökeres

Shots on Target/Game2.8

+0.5 On Target88%

+1.5 On Target70%

C. Harder

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target14%

Trincão

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target29%

M. Hjulmand

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target4%

Pote

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Benfica xG (home)2.23

Sporting CP xG (away)2.14

Average Possession

58.38% Possession 60.44%

Team Comparison Benfica vs Sporting CP

84.06% Pass accuracy 87.03%

501.68 Passes per match 520.47

-0.07 Goals prevented -0.26

11.76 Fouls committed 11.5

2.29 Goalkeeper saves 1.41

3.11 Offsides 1.16

18.65 Tackles per match 16

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Benfica vs Sporting CP prediction analysis

Review Benfica vs Sporting CP with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights