What markets are included in the Benfica vs Sporting CP prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Benfica vs Sporting CP prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Benfica vs Sporting CP

Benfica vs Sporting CP prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-12-05 20:15

Benfica

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

58%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Sporting CP

Away

Prediction Summary

34%

24%

42%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

60%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Benfica (Home)

Goals scored / match2.41

Goals conceded / match0.76

Over 2.5 rate41%

BTTS rate59%

Sporting CP (Away)

Goals scored / match2.24

Goals conceded / match0.76

Over 2.5 rate35%

BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Benfica

WDDWW

Sporting CP

WWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 100%

76% +1.5 65%

41% +2.5 35%

18% +3.5 24%

6% +4.5 0%

59% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Benfica averages 2.41 goals scored at home, while Sporting CP averages 2.24 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

34%

Draw

24%

Away Win

42%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Benfica(A) 2 - 1 Sporting CP Home

Dec 2025 Benfica 1 - 1 Sporting CP Draw

May 2025 Benfica 1 - 3 Sporting CP Away

May 2025 Benfica 1 - 1 Sporting CP Draw

Jan 2025 Benfica(A) 1 - 1 Sporting CP Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Benfica won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Benfica — unbeaten run (home)17

Benfica — scoring streak (home)17

Sporting CP — winless run (away)0

Sporting CP — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Benfica Win (1)34%

Draw (X)24%

Sporting CP Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 100%

76% +1.5 65%

41% +2.5 35%

18% +3.5 24%

6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 0%

24% -1.5 35%

59% -2.5 65%

82% -3.5 76%

94% -4.5 100%

Benfica vs Sporting CP — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Benfica — scored (home)2.41

Benfica — conceded (home)0.76

Sporting CP — scored (away)2.24

Sporting CP — conceded (away)0.76

Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%

No40%

Rate per Team

Benfica — BTTS matches (home)59%

Sporting CP — BTTS matches (away)71%

Combined (simple average)65%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.591%

Under 6.59%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.577%

Under 8.523%

Over 9.562%

Under 9.538%

Over 10.547%

Under 10.553%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Benfica (home)

Corners for7.5

Corners against2.6

Sporting CP (away)

Corners for7.5

Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Benfica

11 11 10 10 11

Sporting CP

9 10 8 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.583%

Under 2.517%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Benfica (home)

For1.8

Sporting CP (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Benfica — total shots (home)18.1

Sporting CP — total shots (away)16.1

Shots on Target

Benfica — on target (home)6.9

Sporting CP — on target (away)6.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Benfica

Inside the box11.59

Outside the box5.47

Sporting CP

Inside the box11.82

Outside the box5.74

Player Shots Benfica

V. Pavlidis

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target82%

+1.5 On Target36%

Rafa

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target25%

F. Ivanović

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target20%

A. Cabral

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

R. Rios

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Sporting CP

L. Suárez

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target91%

+1.5 On Target50%

Pote

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

C. Harder

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target75%

+1.5 On Target25%

Geny Catamo

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target24%

Trincão

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target15%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Benfica xG (home)2.07

Sporting CP xG (away)2.13

Average Possession

57.82% Possession 61.85%

Team Comparison Benfica vs Sporting CP

84.24% Pass accuracy 87.56%

480.35 Passes per match 544.06

0.18 Goals prevented -0.21

11.15 Fouls committed 12.24

2.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.29

1.68 Offsides 1.62

16.56 Tackles per match 15.76

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Benfica vs Sporting CP prediction analysis

Review Benfica vs Sporting CP with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights