What markets are included in the Benfica vs Tondela prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Benfica vs Tondela prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Benfica vs Tondela

Benfica vs Tondela prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-08-23 19:30

Benfica

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

58%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-0

Tondela

Away

Prediction Summary

70%

18%

12%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS No

51%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Benfica (Home)

Goals scored / match2.41

Goals conceded / match0.76

Over 2.5 rate41%

BTTS rate59%

Tondela (Away)

Goals scored / match0.82

Goals conceded / match2

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Benfica

WDDWW

Tondela

LWWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 53%

76% +1.5 29%

41% +2.5 0%

18% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

59% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Benfica averages 2.41 goals scored at home, while Tondela averages 0.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength

70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

70%

Draw

18%

Away Win

12%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Benfica(A) 0 - 0 Tondela Draw

Oct 2025 Benfica 3 - 0 Tondela Home

Aug 2025 Benfica 3 - 0 Tondela Home

Feb 2022 Benfica(A) 3 - 1 Tondela Home

Aug 2021 Benfica 2 - 1 Tondela Home

In the last 5 meetings, Benfica won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Benfica — unbeaten run (home)17

Benfica — scoring streak (home)17

Tondela — winless run (away)1

Tondela — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Benfica Win (1)70%

Draw (X)18%

Tondela Win (2)12%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 53%

76% +1.5 29%

41% +2.5 0%

18% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 47%

24% -1.5 71%

59% -2.5 100%

82% -3.5 100%

94% -4.5 100%

Benfica vs Tondela — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Benfica — scored (home)2.41

Benfica — conceded (home)0.76

Tondela — scored (away)0.82

Tondela — conceded (away)2

Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%

No51%

Rate per Team

Benfica — BTTS matches (home)59%

Tondela — BTTS matches (away)35%

Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.591%

Under 6.59%

Over 7.576%

Under 7.524%

Over 8.565%

Under 8.535%

Over 9.556%

Under 9.544%

Over 10.538%

Under 10.562%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Benfica (home)

Corners for7.5

Corners against2.6

Tondela (away)

Corners for4.0

Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Benfica

11 11 10 10 11

Tondela

15 10 9 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.585%

Under 1.515%

Over 2.571%

Under 2.529%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Benfica (home)

For1.8

Tondela (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Benfica — total shots (home)18.1

Tondela — total shots (away)9.1

Shots on Target

Benfica — on target (home)6.9

Tondela — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Benfica

Inside the box11.59

Outside the box5.47

Tondela

Inside the box6.38

Outside the box4.21

Player Shots Benfica

V. Pavlidis

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target82%

+1.5 On Target36%

Rafa

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target25%

F. Ivanović

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target20%

A. Cabral

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

R. Rios

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Tondela

Pedro Maranhão

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target15%

Rony Lopes

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target13%

Miro

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

M. Aïko

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

J. Siebatcheu

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Benfica xG (home)2.07

Tondela xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

57.82% Possession 43.56%

Team Comparison Benfica vs Tondela

84.24% Pass accuracy 78.29%

480.35 Passes per match 338.06

0.18 Goals prevented 0.02

11.15 Fouls committed 14.47

2.47 Goalkeeper saves 3.38

1.68 Offsides 2.16

16.56 Tackles per match 17.56

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Benfica vs Tondela prediction analysis

Review Benfica vs Tondela with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights