Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Beşiktaş vs Başakşehir

Beşiktaş vs Başakşehir prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-09-13 17:00
Beşiktaş
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Başakşehir
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
26%
2
35%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Beşiktaş (Home)

Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate71%

Başakşehir (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Beşiktaş
DLWDL
Başakşehir
WWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 76%
59% +1.5 47%
18% +2.5 18%
12% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
71% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

Beşiktaş averages 1.76 goals scored at home, while Başakşehir averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
26%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Beşiktaş(A) 3 - 2 Başakşehir Home
Sep 2025 Beşiktaş 2 - 1 Başakşehir Home
Apr 2025 Beşiktaş 0 - 2 Başakşehir Away
Nov 2024 Beşiktaş(A) 0 - 0 Başakşehir Draw
Apr 2024 Beşiktaş(A) 1 - 1 Başakşehir Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Beşiktaş won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Beşiktaş — unbeaten run (home)0
Beşiktaş — scoring streak (home)1
Başakşehir — winless run (away)0
Başakşehir — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Beşiktaş Win (1)39%
Draw (X)26%
Başakşehir Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 76%
59% +1.5 47%
18% +2.5 18%
12% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 24%
41% -1.5 53%
82% -2.5 82%
88% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Beşiktaş vs Başakşehir — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Beşiktaş — scored (home)1.76
Beşiktaş — conceded (home)1.18
Başakşehir — scored (away)1.47
Başakşehir — conceded (away)1.06
Model expected combined goals2.74

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Beşiktaş — BTTS matches (home)71%
Başakşehir — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.594%
Under 6.56%
Over 7.580%
Under 7.520%
Over 8.577%
Under 8.523%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Beşiktaş (home)

Corners for6.3
Corners against3.7

Başakşehir (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Beşiktaş
8 7 10 9 11
Başakşehir
13 8 12 7 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Beşiktaş (home)

For2.1

Başakşehir (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Beşiktaş — total shots (home)18.6
Başakşehir — total shots (away)13.6

Shots on Target

Beşiktaş — on target (home)7.0
Başakşehir — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Beşiktaş

Inside the box10.85
Outside the box6.03

Başakşehir

Inside the box9.41
Outside the box4.09

Player Shots Beşiktaş

Rafa
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target30%
E. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target18%
O. Kökçü
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target23%
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target15%
T. Abraham
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%

Player Shots Başakşehir

E. Shomurodov
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target82%
+1.5 On Target41%
Y. Sarı
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target24%
D. Selke
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Fayzullaev
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Yıldırım
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Beşiktaş xG (home)1.9
Başakşehir xG (away)1.58

Average Possession

55.53% Possession 54.44%

Team Comparison Beşiktaş vs Başakşehir

82.29% Pass accuracy 83.5%
446.71 Passes per match 435.29
0.16 Goals prevented 0.06
13.29 Fouls committed 13.35
2.62 Goalkeeper saves 3.12
2.16 Offsides 1.36
15.56 Tackles per match 12.82

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Beşiktaş vs Başakşehir prediction analysis

Review Beşiktaş vs Başakşehir with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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