Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Beşiktaş vs Fenerbahçe

Beşiktaş vs Fenerbahçe prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-11-02 17:00
Beşiktaş
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Fenerbahçe
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
26%
2
42%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Beşiktaş (Home)

Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate71%

Fenerbahçe (Away)

Goals scored / match2.18
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate53%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Beşiktaş
DLWDL
Fenerbahçe
DWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 76%
59% +1.5 65%
18% +2.5 53%
12% +3.5 18%
0% +4.5 6%
71% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Beşiktaş averages 1.76 goals scored at home, while Fenerbahçe averages 2.18 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
26%
Away Win
42%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Beşiktaş(A) 0 - 1 Fenerbahçe Away
Dec 2025 Beşiktaş(A) 2 - 1 Fenerbahçe Home
Nov 2025 Beşiktaş 2 - 3 Fenerbahçe Away
May 2025 Beşiktaş(A) 1 - 0 Fenerbahçe Home
Dec 2024 Beşiktaş 1 - 0 Fenerbahçe Home

In the last 5 meetings, Beşiktaş won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Beşiktaş — unbeaten run (home)0
Beşiktaş — scoring streak (home)1
Fenerbahçe — winless run (away)0
Fenerbahçe — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Beşiktaş Win (1)32%
Draw (X)26%
Fenerbahçe Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 76%
59% +1.5 65%
18% +2.5 53%
12% +3.5 18%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 24%
41% -1.5 35%
82% -2.5 47%
88% -3.5 82%
100% -4.5 94%

Beşiktaş vs Fenerbahçe — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Beşiktaş — scored (home)1.76
Beşiktaş — conceded (home)1.18
Fenerbahçe — scored (away)2.18
Fenerbahçe — conceded (away)1.06
Model expected combined goals2.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Beşiktaş — BTTS matches (home)71%
Fenerbahçe — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.580%
Under 7.520%
Over 8.577%
Under 8.523%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Beşiktaş (home)

Corners for6.3
Corners against3.7

Fenerbahçe (away)

Corners for6.4
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Beşiktaş
8 7 10 9 11
Fenerbahçe
10 10 12 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Beşiktaş (home)

For2.1

Fenerbahçe (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Beşiktaş — total shots (home)18.6
Fenerbahçe — total shots (away)14.7

Shots on Target

Beşiktaş — on target (home)7.0
Fenerbahçe — on target (away)5.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Beşiktaş

Inside the box10.85
Outside the box6.03

Fenerbahçe

Inside the box10.03
Outside the box7.12

Player Shots Beşiktaş

Rafa
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target30%
E. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target18%
O. Kökçü
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target23%
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target15%
T. Abraham
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%

Player Shots Fenerbahçe

Talisca
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target77%
+1.5 On Target50%
Marco Asensio
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target28%
Y. En-Nesyri
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target25%
K. Aktürkoğlu
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target24%
N. Dorgeles
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Beşiktaş xG (home)1.9
Fenerbahçe xG (away)1.91

Average Possession

55.53% Possession 58.97%

Team Comparison Beşiktaş vs Fenerbahçe

82.29% Pass accuracy 84.97%
446.71 Passes per match 485.26
0.16 Goals prevented -0.01
13.29 Fouls committed 11.97
2.62 Goalkeeper saves 2.38
2.16 Offsides 1.79
15.56 Tackles per match 17.5

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Beşiktaş vs Fenerbahçe prediction analysis

Review Beşiktaş vs Fenerbahçe with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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