Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Beşiktaş vs Rizespor

Beşiktaş vs Rizespor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-12-20 17:00
Beşiktaş
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Rizespor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
23%
2
37%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Beşiktaş (Home)

Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate71%

Rizespor (Away)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Beşiktaş
DLWDL
Rizespor
DLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 71%
59% +1.5 35%
18% +2.5 12%
12% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%
71% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

Beşiktaş averages 1.76 goals scored at home, while Rizespor averages 1.29 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
23%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
64%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Beşiktaş(A) 2 - 2 Rizespor Draw
Mar 2026 Beşiktaş 4 - 1 Rizespor Home
Dec 2025 Beşiktaş 1 - 0 Rizespor Home
May 2025 Beşiktaş 1 - 2 Rizespor Away
Jan 2025 Beşiktaş(A) 1 - 1 Rizespor Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Beşiktaş won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Beşiktaş — unbeaten run (home)0
Beşiktaş — scoring streak (home)1
Rizespor — winless run (away)5
Rizespor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Beşiktaş Win (1)40%
Draw (X)23%
Rizespor Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 71%
59% +1.5 35%
18% +2.5 12%
12% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 29%
41% -1.5 65%
82% -2.5 88%
88% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 94%

Beşiktaş vs Rizespor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Beşiktaş — scored (home)1.76
Beşiktaş — conceded (home)1.18
Rizespor — scored (away)1.29
Rizespor — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals3.21

Both Teams To Score

Yes64%
No36%

Rate per Team

Beşiktaş — BTTS matches (home)71%
Rizespor — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)68%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Beşiktaş (home)

Corners for6.3
Corners against3.7

Rizespor (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Beşiktaş
8 7 10 9 11
Rizespor
10 14 3 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.586%
Under 2.514%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Beşiktaş (home)

For2.1

Rizespor (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Beşiktaş — total shots (home)18.6
Rizespor — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

Beşiktaş — on target (home)7.0
Rizespor — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Beşiktaş

Inside the box10.85
Outside the box6.03

Rizespor

Inside the box7.53
Outside the box5.47

Player Shots Beşiktaş

Rafa
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target30%
E. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target18%
O. Kökçü
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target23%
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target15%
T. Abraham
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%

Player Shots Rizespor

J. Rak-Sakyi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target9%
Adedire Emmanuel Awokoya-Mebude
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target15%
V. Mihăilă
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target14%
Q. Laçi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Sowe
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Beşiktaş xG (home)1.9
Rizespor xG (away)1.33

Average Possession

55.53% Possession 49.88%

Team Comparison Beşiktaş vs Rizespor

82.29% Pass accuracy 81.32%
446.71 Passes per match 391.32
0.16 Goals prevented -0.01
13.29 Fouls committed 13.71
2.62 Goalkeeper saves 3.26
2.16 Offsides 1.81
15.56 Tackles per match 14.85

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Beşiktaş vs Rizespor prediction analysis

Review Beşiktaş vs Rizespor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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