Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Beşiktaş vs Samsunspor

Beşiktaş vs Samsunspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-11-23 14:00
Beşiktaş
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
64%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Samsunspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
23%
2
45%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Beşiktaş (Home)

Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate71%

Samsunspor (Away)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Beşiktaş
DLWDL
Samsunspor
WLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 82%
59% +1.5 41%
18% +2.5 18%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
71% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 64%. Model confidence is Medium.

Beşiktaş averages 1.76 goals scored at home, while Samsunspor averages 1.41 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
23%
Away Win
45%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
65%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Beşiktaş(A) 1 - 2 Samsunspor Away
Nov 2025 Beşiktaş 1 - 1 Samsunspor Draw
Jan 2025 Beşiktaş 0 - 0 Samsunspor Draw
Aug 2024 Beşiktaş(A) 2 - 0 Samsunspor Home
Apr 2024 Beşiktaş 1 - 1 Samsunspor Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Beşiktaş won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Beşiktaş — unbeaten run (home)0
Beşiktaş — scoring streak (home)1
Samsunspor — winless run (away)1
Samsunspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Beşiktaş Win (1)32%
Draw (X)23%
Samsunspor Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 82%
59% +1.5 41%
18% +2.5 18%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 18%
41% -1.5 59%
82% -2.5 82%
88% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Beşiktaş vs Samsunspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Beşiktaş — scored (home)1.76
Beşiktaş — conceded (home)1.18
Samsunspor — scored (away)1.41
Samsunspor — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals3.3

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%
No35%

Rate per Team

Beşiktaş — BTTS matches (home)71%
Samsunspor — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)71%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Beşiktaş (home)

Corners for6.3
Corners against3.7

Samsunspor (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Beşiktaş
8 7 10 9 11
Samsunspor
8 17 9 7 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Beşiktaş (home)

For2.1

Samsunspor (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Beşiktaş — total shots (home)18.6
Samsunspor — total shots (away)11.7

Shots on Target

Beşiktaş — on target (home)7.0
Samsunspor — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Beşiktaş

Inside the box10.85
Outside the box6.03

Samsunspor

Inside the box8.21
Outside the box4.74

Player Shots Beşiktaş

Rafa
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target30%
E. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target18%
O. Kökçü
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target23%
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target15%
T. Abraham
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%

Player Shots Samsunspor

M. Mouandilmadji
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
C. Holse
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target26%
A. Musaba
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Tavşan
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Marius
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Beşiktaş xG (home)1.9
Samsunspor xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

55.53% Possession 54.29%

Team Comparison Beşiktaş vs Samsunspor

82.29% Pass accuracy 82.71%
446.71 Passes per match 436.06
0.16 Goals prevented -0.18
13.29 Fouls committed 14.91
2.62 Goalkeeper saves 2.36
2.16 Offsides 2
15.56 Tackles per match 15.85

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Beşiktaş vs Samsunspor prediction analysis

Review Beşiktaş vs Samsunspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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