Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Birmingham vs Sheffield Wednesday

Birmingham vs Sheffield Wednesday prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-09-30 18:45
Birmingham
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
37%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Sheffield Wednesday
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
29%
2
31%
Under 2.5
63%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Birmingham (Home)

Goals scored / match1.7
Goals conceded / match0.96
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate65%

Sheffield Wednesday (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match1.96
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate48%

Team Form last 5 matches

Birmingham
DWWDW
Sheffield Wednesday
WLLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

91% +0.5 52%
48% +1.5 13%
17% +2.5 0%
13% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
65% BTTS 48%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Birmingham averages 1.7 goals scored at home, while Sheffield Wednesday averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
29%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
44%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Birmingham(A) 2 - 0 Sheffield Wednesday Home
Sep 2025 Birmingham 2 - 2 Sheffield Wednesday Draw
Feb 2024 Birmingham(A) 0 - 2 Sheffield Wednesday Away
Nov 2023 Birmingham 2 - 1 Sheffield Wednesday Home
Feb 2021 Birmingham(A) 1 - 0 Sheffield Wednesday Home

In the last 5 meetings, Birmingham won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Birmingham — unbeaten run (home)3
Birmingham — scoring streak (home)3
Sheffield Wednesday — winless run (away)20
Sheffield Wednesday — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Birmingham Win (1)40%
Draw (X)29%
Sheffield Wednesday Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

91% +0.5 52%
48% +1.5 13%
17% +2.5 0%
13% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

9% -0.5 48%
52% -1.5 87%
83% -2.5 100%
87% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Birmingham vs Sheffield Wednesday — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Birmingham — scored (home)1.7
Birmingham — conceded (home)0.96
Sheffield Wednesday — scored (away)0.65
Sheffield Wednesday — conceded (away)1.96
Model expected combined goals2.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%
No56%

Rate per Team

Birmingham — BTTS matches (home)65%
Sheffield Wednesday — BTTS matches (away)48%
Combined (simple average)56.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.581%
Under 7.519%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.548%
Under 10.552%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Birmingham (home)

Corners for6.6
Corners against3.9

Sheffield Wednesday (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Birmingham
9 8 6 11 12
Sheffield Wednesday
9 9 10 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.587%
Under 0.513%
Over 1.583%
Under 1.517%
Over 2.561%
Under 2.539%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Birmingham (home)

For2.0

Sheffield Wednesday (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Birmingham — total shots (home)17.3
Sheffield Wednesday — total shots (away)8.0

Shots on Target

Birmingham — on target (home)5.7
Sheffield Wednesday — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Birmingham

Inside the box8.76
Outside the box4.85

Sheffield Wednesday

Inside the box5.93
Outside the box2.74

Player Shots Birmingham

M. Ducksch
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target21%
J. Stansfield
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
I. Osman
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target24%
Carlos Vicente
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
D. Gray
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Sheffield Wednesday

B. Cadamarteri
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target3%
G. Brown
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
B. Bannan
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Lowe
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Yates
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Birmingham xG (home)1.36
Sheffield Wednesday xG (away)0.85

Average Possession

53.74% Possession 44.85%

Team Comparison Birmingham vs Sheffield Wednesday

77.15% Pass accuracy 72.83%
423.72 Passes per match 360.35
-0.06 Goals prevented 0.08
11.67 Fouls committed 11.8
2.4 Goalkeeper saves 3.91
1.8 Offsides 1.3
14.17 Tackles per match 16.37

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Birmingham vs Sheffield Wednesday prediction analysis

Review Birmingham vs Sheffield Wednesday with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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