Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Blackburn vs Charlton

Blackburn vs Charlton prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2026-01-04 15:00
Blackburn
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
40%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Charlton
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
28%
2
35%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Blackburn (Home)

Goals scored / match0.83
Goals conceded / match1.17
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate57%

Charlton (Away)

Goals scored / match0.91
Goals conceded / match1.39
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

Blackburn
LWDLD
Charlton
LWLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 74%
13% +1.5 13%
0% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Blackburn averages 0.83 goals scored at home, while Charlton averages 0.91 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
28%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 4

Jan 2026 Blackburn 2 - 2 Charlton Draw
Sep 2025 Blackburn(A) 0 - 3 Charlton Away
Feb 2020 Blackburn(A) 2 - 0 Charlton Home
Aug 2019 Blackburn 1 - 2 Charlton Away

In the last 4 meetings, Blackburn won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Blackburn — unbeaten run (home)0
Blackburn — scoring streak (home)0
Charlton — winless run (away)4
Charlton — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Blackburn Win (1)36%
Draw (X)28%
Charlton Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 74%
13% +1.5 13%
0% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 26%
87% -1.5 87%
100% -2.5 96%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Blackburn vs Charlton — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Blackburn — scored (home)0.83
Blackburn — conceded (home)1.17
Charlton — scored (away)0.91
Charlton — conceded (away)1.39
Model expected combined goals2.29

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

Blackburn — BTTS matches (home)57%
Charlton — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)57%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.596%
Under 5.54%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Blackburn (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against5.1

Charlton (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Blackburn
7 11 6 6 20
Charlton
11 9 5 16 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.596%
Under 1.54%
Over 2.563%
Under 2.537%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Blackburn (home)

For2.0

Charlton (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Blackburn — total shots (home)11.6
Charlton — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Blackburn — on target (home)3.2
Charlton — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Blackburn

Inside the box7.76
Outside the box3.74

Charlton

Inside the box7.54
Outside the box3.46

Player Shots Blackburn

M. Litherland
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Y. Ohashi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Guðjohnsen
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target8%
T. Cantwell
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target14%
R. Morishita
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Charlton

S. Carey
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target15%
C. Kelman
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Dykes
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Godden
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Fevrier
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Blackburn xG (home)1.2
Charlton xG (away)1.03

Average Possession

47.91% Possession 42.3%

Team Comparison Blackburn vs Charlton

73.83% Pass accuracy 70.28%
382.02 Passes per match 315.15
0.07 Goals prevented -0.07
10.54 Fouls committed 12.09
2.62 Goalkeeper saves 3.04
1.89 Offsides 2.15
17.46 Tackles per match 13.59

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Blackburn vs Charlton prediction analysis

Review Blackburn vs Charlton with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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