Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Blackburn vs Middlesbrough

Blackburn vs Middlesbrough prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2026-08-22 14:00
Blackburn
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Middlesbrough
Away

Prediction Summary

1
29%
X
27%
2
44%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Blackburn (Home)

Goals scored / match0.83
Goals conceded / match1.17
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate57%

Middlesbrough (Away)

Goals scored / match1.56
Goals conceded / match1.28
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate64%

Team Form last 5 matches

Blackburn
LWDLD
Middlesbrough
LLDDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 76%
13% +1.5 52%
0% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 8%
0% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 64%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Medium.

Blackburn averages 0.83 goals scored at home, while Middlesbrough averages 1.56 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
29%
Draw
27%
Away Win
44%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Blackburn 0 - 0 Middlesbrough Draw
Dec 2025 Blackburn(A) 0 - 0 Middlesbrough Draw
Apr 2025 Blackburn 0 - 2 Middlesbrough Away
Jan 2025 Blackburn(A) 1 - 0 Middlesbrough Home
Nov 2024 Blackburn(A) 1 - 0 Middlesbrough Home

In the last 5 meetings, Blackburn won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Blackburn — unbeaten run (home)0
Blackburn — scoring streak (home)0
Middlesbrough — winless run (away)6
Middlesbrough — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Blackburn Win (1)29%
Draw (X)27%
Middlesbrough Win (2)44%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 76%
13% +1.5 52%
0% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 8%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 24%
87% -1.5 48%
100% -2.5 80%
100% -3.5 92%
100% -4.5 100%

Blackburn vs Middlesbrough — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Blackburn — scored (home)0.83
Blackburn — conceded (home)1.17
Middlesbrough — scored (away)1.56
Middlesbrough — conceded (away)1.28
Model expected combined goals2.42

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Blackburn — BTTS matches (home)57%
Middlesbrough — BTTS matches (away)64%
Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Blackburn (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against5.1

Middlesbrough (away)

Corners for5.8
Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Blackburn
7 11 6 6 20
Middlesbrough
9 9 12 16 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Blackburn (home)

For2.0

Middlesbrough (away)

For2.2

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.570%
Under 19.530%
Over 22.555%
Under 22.545%
Over 25.540%
Under 25.560%
Expected total shots24.25

Blackburn

Shots Over 9.569%
Shots Over 11.552%
Shots Over 13.536%
Expected shots12.21
On Target Over 3.554%
On Target Over 4.536%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.96

Middlesbrough

Shots Over 9.568%
Shots Over 11.551%
Shots Over 13.535%
Expected shots12.04
On Target Over 3.554%
On Target Over 4.536%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.94

Shots per Game

Blackburn — total shots (home)11.6
Middlesbrough — total shots (away)15.2

Shots on Target

Blackburn — on target (home)3.2
Middlesbrough — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Blackburn

Inside the box7.76
Outside the box3.74

Middlesbrough

Inside the box10.41
Outside the box5.82

Player Shots Blackburn

M. Litherland
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Y. Ohashi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Guðjohnsen
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target8%
T. Cantwell
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target14%
R. Morishita
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Middlesbrough

M. Whittaker
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target21%
Leo Castledine
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
T. Conway
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Strelec
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target11%
H. Hackney
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Blackburn xG (home)1.2
Middlesbrough xG (away)1.5

Average Possession

47.91% Possession 59.43%

Team Comparison Blackburn vs Middlesbrough

73.83% Pass accuracy 84.08%
382.02 Passes per match 516.84
0.07 Goals prevented -0.17
10.54 Fouls committed 9.33
2.62 Goalkeeper saves 2.22
1.89 Offsides 1.89
17.46 Tackles per match 15.45

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Blackburn vs Middlesbrough prediction analysis

Review Blackburn vs Middlesbrough with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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