Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Blackburn vs Millwall

Blackburn vs Millwall prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-12-20 12:30
Blackburn
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Millwall
Away

Prediction Summary

1
31%
X
26%
2
43%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Blackburn (Home)

Goals scored / match0.83
Goals conceded / match1.17
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate57%

Millwall (Away)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate8%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Blackburn
LWDLD
Millwall
LDWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 79%
13% +1.5 42%
0% +2.5 8%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Blackburn averages 0.83 goals scored at home, while Millwall averages 1.29 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
31%
Draw
26%
Away Win
43%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Blackburn(A) 2 - 1 Millwall Home
Dec 2025 Blackburn 2 - 0 Millwall Home
Apr 2025 Blackburn 4 - 1 Millwall Home
Dec 2024 Blackburn(A) 0 - 1 Millwall Away
Mar 2024 Blackburn 1 - 1 Millwall Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Blackburn won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Blackburn — unbeaten run (home)0
Blackburn — scoring streak (home)0
Millwall — winless run (away)2
Millwall — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Blackburn Win (1)31%
Draw (X)26%
Millwall Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 79%
13% +1.5 42%
0% +2.5 8%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 21%
87% -1.5 58%
100% -2.5 92%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Blackburn vs Millwall — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Blackburn — scored (home)0.83
Blackburn — conceded (home)1.17
Millwall — scored (away)1.29
Millwall — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.55

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Blackburn — BTTS matches (home)57%
Millwall — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)57.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.596%
Under 5.54%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.581%
Under 7.519%
Over 8.573%
Under 8.527%
Over 9.562%
Under 9.538%
Over 10.549%
Under 10.551%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Blackburn (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against5.1

Millwall (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Blackburn
7 11 6 6 20
Millwall
12 14 15 5 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Blackburn (home)

For2.0

Millwall (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Blackburn — total shots (home)11.6
Millwall — total shots (away)12.3

Shots on Target

Blackburn — on target (home)3.2
Millwall — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Blackburn

Inside the box7.76
Outside the box3.74

Millwall

Inside the box8.81
Outside the box4.13

Player Shots Blackburn

M. Litherland
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Y. Ohashi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Guðjohnsen
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target8%
T. Cantwell
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target14%
R. Morishita
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Millwall

O. Azeez
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target22%
M. Ivanović
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target15%
J. Coburn
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target18%
T. Ballo
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Emakhu
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Blackburn xG (home)1.2
Millwall xG (away)1.36

Average Possession

47.91% Possession 47.63%

Team Comparison Blackburn vs Millwall

73.83% Pass accuracy 70.42%
382.02 Passes per match 348.19
0.07 Goals prevented 0.08
10.54 Fouls committed 12.52
2.62 Goalkeeper saves 2.73
1.89 Offsides 2.22
17.46 Tackles per match 15.75

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Blackburn vs Millwall prediction analysis

Review Blackburn vs Millwall with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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