Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Blackburn vs Norwich

Blackburn vs Norwich prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-08-30 14:00
Blackburn
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Norwich
Away

Prediction Summary

1
28%
X
27%
2
45%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Blackburn (Home)

Goals scored / match0.83
Goals conceded / match1.17
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate57%

Norwich (Away)

Goals scored / match1.57
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Blackburn
LWDLD
Norwich
LDWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 87%
13% +1.5 43%
0% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 9%
0% +4.5 4%
57% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Blackburn averages 0.83 goals scored at home, while Norwich averages 1.57 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
28%
Draw
27%
Away Win
45%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Blackburn(A) 0 - 2 Norwich Away
Aug 2025 Blackburn 0 - 2 Norwich Away
Mar 2025 Blackburn 1 - 1 Norwich Draw
Aug 2024 Blackburn(A) 2 - 2 Norwich Draw
Feb 2024 Blackburn 1 - 1 Norwich Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Blackburn won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Blackburn — unbeaten run (home)0
Blackburn — scoring streak (home)0
Norwich — winless run (away)1
Norwich — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Blackburn Win (1)28%
Draw (X)27%
Norwich Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 87%
13% +1.5 43%
0% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 9%
0% +4.5 4%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 13%
87% -1.5 57%
100% -2.5 87%
100% -3.5 91%
100% -4.5 96%

Blackburn vs Norwich — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Blackburn — scored (home)0.83
Blackburn — conceded (home)1.17
Norwich — scored (away)1.57
Norwich — conceded (away)1.22
Model expected combined goals2.39

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

Blackburn — BTTS matches (home)57%
Norwich — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)61%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.572%
Under 8.528%
Over 9.566%
Under 9.534%
Over 10.553%
Under 10.547%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Blackburn (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against5.1

Norwich (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Blackburn
7 11 6 6 20
Norwich
14 12 7 7 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Blackburn (home)

For2.0

Norwich (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Blackburn — total shots (home)11.6
Norwich — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

Blackburn — on target (home)3.2
Norwich — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Blackburn

Inside the box7.76
Outside the box3.74

Norwich

Inside the box8
Outside the box4.57

Player Shots Blackburn

M. Litherland
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Y. Ohashi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Guðjohnsen
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target8%
T. Cantwell
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target14%
R. Morishita
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Norwich

M. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
A. Ben Slimane
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Sargent
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Makama
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Maghoma
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Blackburn xG (home)1.2
Norwich xG (away)1.32

Average Possession

47.91% Possession 53.63%

Team Comparison Blackburn vs Norwich

73.83% Pass accuracy 79.24%
382.02 Passes per match 435.28
0.07 Goals prevented 0.13
10.54 Fouls committed 10.2
2.62 Goalkeeper saves 2.61
1.89 Offsides 1.93
17.46 Tackles per match 16.72

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Blackburn vs Norwich prediction analysis

Review Blackburn vs Norwich with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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