Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Blackburn vs Oxford United

Blackburn vs Oxford United prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-12-09 19:45
Blackburn
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
45%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Oxford United
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
27%
2
41%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Blackburn (Home)

Goals scored / match0.83
Goals conceded / match1.17
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate57%

Oxford United (Away)

Goals scored / match0.91
Goals conceded / match1.39
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

Blackburn
LWDLD
Oxford United
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 57%
13% +1.5 26%
0% +2.5 9%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 45%. Model confidence is Low.

Blackburn averages 0.83 goals scored at home, while Oxford United averages 0.91 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
27%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 4

Mar 2026 Blackburn(A) 0 - 1 Oxford United Away
Dec 2025 Blackburn 1 - 1 Oxford United Draw
Jan 2025 Blackburn(A) 0 - 1 Oxford United Away
Aug 2024 Blackburn 2 - 1 Oxford United Home

In the last 4 meetings, Blackburn won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Blackburn — unbeaten run (home)0
Blackburn — scoring streak (home)0
Oxford United — winless run (away)4
Oxford United — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Blackburn Win (1)32%
Draw (X)27%
Oxford United Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 57%
13% +1.5 26%
0% +2.5 9%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 43%
87% -1.5 74%
100% -2.5 91%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Blackburn vs Oxford United — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Blackburn — scored (home)0.83
Blackburn — conceded (home)1.17
Oxford United — scored (away)0.91
Oxford United — conceded (away)1.39
Model expected combined goals2.48

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Blackburn — BTTS matches (home)57%
Oxford United — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)57%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.594%
Under 6.56%
Over 7.592%
Under 7.58%
Over 8.587%
Under 8.513%
Over 9.581%
Under 9.519%
Over 10.561%
Under 10.539%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Blackburn (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against5.1

Oxford United (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against8.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Blackburn
7 11 6 6 20
Oxford United
15 10 14 8 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Blackburn (home)

For2.0

Oxford United (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Blackburn — total shots (home)11.6
Oxford United — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Blackburn — on target (home)3.2
Oxford United — on target (away)2.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Blackburn

Inside the box7.76
Outside the box3.74

Oxford United

Inside the box6.48
Outside the box5.46

Player Shots Blackburn

M. Litherland
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Y. Ohashi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Guðjohnsen
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target8%
T. Cantwell
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target14%
R. Morishita
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Oxford United

C. Brannagan
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%
W. Lankshear
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target7%
S. Mills
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%
B. De Keersmaecker
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Peart-Harris
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Blackburn xG (home)1.2
Oxford United xG (away)1.13

Average Possession

47.91% Possession 39.89%

Team Comparison Blackburn vs Oxford United

73.83% Pass accuracy 69.57%
382.02 Passes per match 304.85
0.07 Goals prevented 0.06
10.54 Fouls committed 10.98
2.62 Goalkeeper saves 3
1.89 Offsides 1.76
17.46 Tackles per match 17.04

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Blackburn vs Oxford United prediction analysis

Review Blackburn vs Oxford United with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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