Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd

Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-10-21 18:45
Blackburn
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
36%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Sheffield Utd
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
29%
2
30%
Under 2.5
64%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Blackburn (Home)

Goals scored / match0.83
Goals conceded / match1.17
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate57%

Sheffield Utd (Away)

Goals scored / match1.22
Goals conceded / match1.43
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate43%

Team Form last 5 matches

Blackburn
LWDLD
Sheffield Utd
WLLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 65%
13% +1.5 39%
0% +2.5 17%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 43%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.

Blackburn averages 0.83 goals scored at home, while Sheffield Utd averages 1.22 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
29%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Blackburn(A) 3 - 1 Sheffield Utd Home
Oct 2025 Blackburn 1 - 3 Sheffield Utd Away
May 2025 Blackburn(A) 1 - 1 Sheffield Utd Draw
Nov 2024 Blackburn 0 - 2 Sheffield Utd Away
Mar 2023 Blackburn(A) 2 - 3 Sheffield Utd Away

In the last 5 meetings, Blackburn won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Blackburn — unbeaten run (home)0
Blackburn — scoring streak (home)0
Sheffield Utd — winless run (away)0
Sheffield Utd — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Blackburn Win (1)40%
Draw (X)29%
Sheffield Utd Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 65%
13% +1.5 39%
0% +2.5 17%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 35%
87% -1.5 61%
100% -2.5 83%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Blackburn — scored (home)0.83
Blackburn — conceded (home)1.17
Sheffield Utd — scored (away)1.22
Sheffield Utd — conceded (away)1.43
Model expected combined goals2.15

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Blackburn — BTTS matches (home)57%
Sheffield Utd — BTTS matches (away)43%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.587%
Under 7.513%
Over 8.576%
Under 8.524%
Over 9.572%
Under 9.528%
Over 10.557%
Under 10.543%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Blackburn (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against5.1

Sheffield Utd (away)

Corners for5.7
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Blackburn
7 11 6 6 20
Sheffield Utd
19 13 6 15 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.596%
Under 1.54%
Over 2.572%
Under 2.528%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Blackburn (home)

For2.0

Sheffield Utd (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Blackburn — total shots (home)11.6
Sheffield Utd — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Blackburn — on target (home)3.2
Sheffield Utd — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Blackburn

Inside the box7.76
Outside the box3.74

Sheffield Utd

Inside the box9.07
Outside the box4.33

Player Shots Blackburn

M. Litherland
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Y. Ohashi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Guðjohnsen
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target8%
T. Cantwell
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target14%
R. Morishita
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Sheffield Utd

P. Bamford
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target82%
+1.5 On Target25%
G. Hamer
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target11%
C. O'Hare
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%
T. Cannon
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Brooks
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Blackburn xG (home)1.2
Sheffield Utd xG (away)1.57

Average Possession

47.91% Possession 52.33%

Team Comparison Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd

73.83% Pass accuracy 76.57%
382.02 Passes per match 415.35
0.07 Goals prevented -0.12
10.54 Fouls committed 10.59
2.62 Goalkeeper saves 2.76
1.89 Offsides 2.04
17.46 Tackles per match 15.43

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd prediction analysis

Review Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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