What markets are included in the Boavista vs Casa Pia prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Boavista vs Casa Pia prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Boavista vs Casa Pia

Boavista vs Casa Pia prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-01-20 20:15

Boavista

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

34%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Casa Pia

Away

Prediction Summary

24%

29%

47%

Under 2.5

66%

BTTS No

60%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Boavista (Home)

Goals scored / match0.47

Goals conceded / match1.82

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate35%

Casa Pia (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Boavista

LLWLW

Casa Pia

LWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

41% +0.5 65%

6% +1.5 29%

0% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 34%. Model confidence is Medium.

Boavista averages 0.47 goals scored at home, while Casa Pia averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

24%

Draw

29%

Away Win

47%

Over 2.5

34%

BTTS Yes

40%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2025 Boavista 2 - 3 Casa Pia Away

Aug 2024 Boavista(A) 1 - 0 Casa Pia Home

Feb 2024 Boavista(A) 0 - 0 Casa Pia Draw

Aug 2023 Boavista 1 - 1 Casa Pia Draw

Feb 2023 Boavista 0 - 0 Casa Pia Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Boavista won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Boavista — unbeaten run (home)0

Boavista — scoring streak (home)1

Casa Pia — winless run (away)8

Casa Pia — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Boavista Win (1)24%

Draw (X)29%

Casa Pia Win (2)47%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

41% +0.5 65%

6% +1.5 29%

0% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

59% -0.5 35%

94% -1.5 71%

100% -2.5 94%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Boavista vs Casa Pia — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Boavista — scored (home)0.47

Boavista — conceded (home)1.82

Casa Pia — scored (away)1

Casa Pia — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%

No60%

Rate per Team

Boavista — BTTS matches (home)35%

Casa Pia — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.577%

Under 6.523%

Over 7.565%

Under 7.535%

Over 8.559%

Under 8.541%

Over 9.532%

Under 9.568%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Boavista (home)

Corners for4.4

Corners against4.4

Casa Pia (away)

Corners for3.3

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Boavista

8 8 9 4 13

Casa Pia

7 8 5 9 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.591%

Under 2.59%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Boavista (home)

For2.7

Casa Pia (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Boavista — total shots (home)11.6

Casa Pia — total shots (away)8.1

Shots on Target

Boavista — on target (home)3.4

Casa Pia — on target (away)2.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Boavista

Inside the box6.09

Outside the box4.32

Casa Pia

Inside the box5.59

Outside the box3.76

Player Shots Boavista

Manuel Namora

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

R. Boženík

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target24%

Joel da Silva

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target7%

A. Diaby

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target8%

Miguel Reisinho

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Casa Pia

Max Svensson

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Nuno Moreira

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target19%

Henrique Pereira

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target4%

Cassiano

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target12%

Leonardo Lelo

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target19%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Boavista xG (home)0.96

Casa Pia xG (away)0.9

Average Possession

39.79% Possession 46.65%

Team Comparison Boavista vs Casa Pia

73.29% Pass accuracy 76.68%

315.88 Passes per match 363.74

0.24 Goals prevented 0.09

12.74 Fouls committed 14.82

3.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.64

2.53 Offsides 1.32

16.82 Tackles per match 14.71

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Boavista vs Casa Pia prediction analysis

Review Boavista vs Casa Pia with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights