What markets are included in the Boavista vs Estrela prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Boavista vs Estrela prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Boavista vs Estrela

Boavista vs Estrela prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-02-14 20:15

Boavista

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

32%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-0

Estrela

Away

Prediction Summary

35%

31%

35%

Under 2.5

68%

BTTS No

60%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Boavista (Home)

Goals scored / match0.47

Goals conceded / match1.82

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate35%

Estrela (Away)

Goals scored / match0.35

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate24%

Team Form last 5 matches

Boavista

LLWLW

Estrela

LLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

41% +0.5 35%

6% +1.5 0%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 24%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Boavista averages 0.47 goals scored at home, while Estrela averages 0.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength

68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

35%

Draw

31%

Away Win

35%

Over 2.5

32%

BTTS Yes

40%

Head-to-Head last 4

Feb 2025 Boavista 0 - 1 Estrela Away

Sep 2024 Boavista(A) 2 - 2 Estrela Draw

Apr 2024 Boavista 1 - 1 Estrela Draw

Dec 2023 Boavista(A) 1 - 3 Estrela Away

In the last 4 meetings, Boavista won 0, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Boavista — unbeaten run (home)0

Boavista — scoring streak (home)1

Estrela — winless run (away)3

Estrela — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Boavista Win (1)35%

Draw (X)31%

Estrela Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

41% +0.5 35%

6% +1.5 0%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

59% -0.5 65%

94% -1.5 100%

100% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Boavista vs Estrela — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Boavista — scored (home)0.47

Boavista — conceded (home)1.82

Estrela — scored (away)0.35

Estrela — conceded (away)1.53

Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%

No60%

Rate per Team

Boavista — BTTS matches (home)35%

Estrela — BTTS matches (away)24%

Combined (simple average)29.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.583%

Under 6.517%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.559%

Under 8.541%

Over 9.541%

Under 9.559%

Over 10.538%

Under 10.562%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Boavista (home)

Corners for4.4

Corners against4.4

Estrela (away)

Corners for3.9

Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Boavista

8 8 9 4 13

Estrela

8 16 8 7 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.597%

Under 2.53%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Boavista (home)

For2.7

Estrela (away)

For3.1

Shots per Game

Boavista — total shots (home)11.6

Estrela — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Boavista — on target (home)3.4

Estrela — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Boavista

Inside the box6.09

Outside the box4.32

Estrela

Inside the box5.41

Outside the box4.32

Player Shots Boavista

Manuel Namora

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

R. Boženík

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target24%

Joel da Silva

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target7%

A. Diaby

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target8%

Miguel Reisinho

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Estrela

Igor Jesus

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target8%

+1.5 On Target8%

Nilton Varela

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target4%

+1.5 On Target4%

André Luiz

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Kikas

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target13%

Chico Banza

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target23%

+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Boavista xG (home)0.96

Estrela xG (away)0.8

Average Possession

39.79% Possession 44.62%

Team Comparison Boavista vs Estrela

73.29% Pass accuracy 74.65%

315.88 Passes per match 325.97

0.24 Goals prevented -0.13

12.74 Fouls committed 15.32

3.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.09

2.53 Offsides 2.09

16.82 Tackles per match 18

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Boavista vs Estrela prediction analysis

Review Boavista vs Estrela with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights