Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Boavista vs Famalicao

Boavista vs Famalicao prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-01-31 20:15
Boavista
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Famalicao
Away

Prediction Summary

1
26%
X
25%
2
49%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Boavista (Home)

Goals scored / match0.47
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate35%

Famalicao (Away)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Boavista
LLWLW
Famalicao
WLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

41% +0.5 88%
6% +1.5 35%
0% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Boavista averages 0.47 goals scored at home, while Famalicao averages 1.41 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
26%
Draw
25%
Away Win
49%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2025 Boavista 0 - 2 Famalicao Away
Aug 2024 Boavista(A) 0 - 1 Famalicao Away
Mar 2024 Boavista(A) 1 - 1 Famalicao Draw
Sep 2023 Boavista 2 - 2 Famalicao Draw
Mar 2023 Boavista 1 - 2 Famalicao Away

In the last 5 meetings, Boavista won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Boavista — unbeaten run (home)0
Boavista — scoring streak (home)1
Famalicao — winless run (away)3
Famalicao — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Boavista Win (1)26%
Draw (X)25%
Famalicao Win (2)49%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

41% +0.5 88%
6% +1.5 35%
0% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

59% -0.5 12%
94% -1.5 65%
100% -2.5 82%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Boavista vs Famalicao — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Boavista — scored (home)0.47
Boavista — conceded (home)1.82
Famalicao — scored (away)1.41
Famalicao — conceded (away)1.59
Model expected combined goals2.61

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Boavista — BTTS matches (home)35%
Famalicao — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.541%
Under 9.559%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Boavista (home)

Corners for4.4
Corners against4.4

Famalicao (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Boavista
8 8 9 4 13
Famalicao
9 15 14 9 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Boavista (home)

For2.7

Famalicao (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Boavista — total shots (home)11.6
Famalicao — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Boavista — on target (home)3.4
Famalicao — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Boavista

Inside the box6.09
Outside the box4.32

Famalicao

Inside the box6.38
Outside the box5.09

Player Shots Boavista

Manuel Namora
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
R. Boženík
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target24%
Joel da Silva
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target7%
A. Diaby
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target8%
Miguel Reisinho
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Famalicao

Pedro Francisco
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Elisor
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target7%
Gil Dias
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target17%
Sorriso
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target17%
Z. Youssouf
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Boavista xG (home)0.96
Famalicao xG (away)1.14

Average Possession

39.79% Possession 50.38%

Team Comparison Boavista vs Famalicao

73.29% Pass accuracy 79.24%
315.88 Passes per match 397
0.24 Goals prevented 0.14
12.74 Fouls committed 14
3.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.06
2.53 Offsides 1.18
16.82 Tackles per match 16.44

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Boavista vs Famalicao prediction analysis

Review Boavista vs Famalicao with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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