Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Boavista vs GIL Vicente

Boavista vs GIL Vicente prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-04-01 19:15
Boavista
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
39%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
GIL Vicente
Away

Prediction Summary

1
37%
X
29%
2
34%
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Boavista (Home)

Goals scored / match0.47
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate35%

GIL Vicente (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Boavista
LLWLW
GIL Vicente
DDLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

41% +0.5 65%
6% +1.5 18%
0% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Boavista averages 0.47 goals scored at home, while GIL Vicente averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
37%
Draw
29%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 Boavista 1 - 3 GIL Vicente Away
Nov 2024 Boavista(A) 2 - 1 GIL Vicente Home
May 2024 Boavista 1 - 1 GIL Vicente Draw
Dec 2023 Boavista(A) 0 - 1 GIL Vicente Away
May 2023 Boavista(A) 1 - 3 GIL Vicente Away

In the last 5 meetings, Boavista won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Boavista — unbeaten run (home)0
Boavista — scoring streak (home)1
GIL Vicente — winless run (away)2
GIL Vicente — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Boavista Win (1)37%
Draw (X)29%
GIL Vicente Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

41% +0.5 65%
6% +1.5 18%
0% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

59% -0.5 35%
94% -1.5 82%
100% -2.5 88%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Boavista vs GIL Vicente — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Boavista — scored (home)0.47
Boavista — conceded (home)1.82
GIL Vicente — scored (away)0.94
GIL Vicente — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.23

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

Boavista — BTTS matches (home)35%
GIL Vicente — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Boavista (home)

Corners for4.4
Corners against4.4

GIL Vicente (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Boavista
8 8 9 4 13
GIL Vicente
9 5 11 5 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Boavista (home)

For2.7

GIL Vicente (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Boavista — total shots (home)11.6
GIL Vicente — total shots (away)7.8

Shots on Target

Boavista — on target (home)3.4
GIL Vicente — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Boavista

Inside the box6.09
Outside the box4.32

GIL Vicente

Inside the box6.09
Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Boavista

Manuel Namora
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
R. Boženík
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target24%
Joel da Silva
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target7%
A. Diaby
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target8%
Miguel Reisinho
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots GIL Vicente

A. Bamba
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
Pablo
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target5%
K. Fujimoto
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
T. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target8%
Félix Correia
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Boavista xG (home)0.96
GIL Vicente xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

39.79% Possession 50.85%

Team Comparison Boavista vs GIL Vicente

73.29% Pass accuracy 81.62%
315.88 Passes per match 437.18
0.24 Goals prevented -0.1
12.74 Fouls committed 11.62
3.5 Goalkeeper saves 2.71
2.53 Offsides 1.53
16.82 Tackles per match 15.71

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Boavista vs GIL Vicente prediction analysis

Review Boavista vs GIL Vicente with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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