What markets are included in the Boavista vs Nacional prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Boavista vs Nacional prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Boavista vs Nacional

Boavista vs Nacional prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-04-12 14:30

Boavista

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

32%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Nacional

Away

Prediction Summary

31%

38%

Under 2.5

68%

BTTS No

60%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Boavista (Home)

Goals scored / match0.47

Goals conceded / match1.82

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate35%

Nacional (Away)

Goals scored / match0.53

Goals conceded / match1.35

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate29%

Team Form last 5 matches

Boavista

LLWLW

Nacional

LDLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

41% +0.5 41%

6% +1.5 12%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 29%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Boavista averages 0.47 goals scored at home, while Nacional averages 0.53 goals scored away.

Model Strength

68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

31%

Draw

31%

Away Win

38%

Over 2.5

32%

BTTS Yes

40%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2025 Boavista 0 - 1 Nacional Away

Nov 2024 Boavista(A) 0 - 0 Nacional Draw

Feb 2021 Boavista 0 - 1 Nacional Away

Sep 2020 Boavista(A) 3 - 3 Nacional Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Boavista won 0, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Boavista — unbeaten run (home)0

Boavista — scoring streak (home)1

Nacional — winless run (away)2

Nacional — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Boavista Win (1)31%

Draw (X)31%

Nacional Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

41% +0.5 41%

6% +1.5 12%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

59% -0.5 59%

94% -1.5 88%

100% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Boavista vs Nacional — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Boavista — scored (home)0.47

Boavista — conceded (home)1.82

Nacional — scored (away)0.53

Nacional — conceded (away)1.35

Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%

No60%

Rate per Team

Boavista — BTTS matches (home)35%

Nacional — BTTS matches (away)29%

Combined (simple average)32%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.583%

Under 6.517%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.559%

Under 8.541%

Over 9.544%

Under 9.556%

Over 10.541%

Under 10.559%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Boavista (home)

Corners for4.4

Corners against4.4

Nacional (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Boavista

8 8 9 4 13

Nacional

9 7 9 9 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.580%

Under 2.520%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Boavista (home)

For2.7

Nacional (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Boavista — total shots (home)11.6

Nacional — total shots (away)12.3

Shots on Target

Boavista — on target (home)3.4

Nacional — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Boavista

Inside the box6.09

Outside the box4.32

Nacional

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box6.15

Player Shots Boavista

Manuel Namora

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

R. Boženík

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target24%

Joel da Silva

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target7%

A. Diaby

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target8%

Miguel Reisinho

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Nacional

Dudu

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target14%

Paulinho Bóia

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

N. Thomas

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

Daniel Penha

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target13%

Rúben Macedo

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Boavista xG (home)0.96

Nacional xG (away)1.03

Average Possession

39.79% Possession 47.29%

Team Comparison Boavista vs Nacional

73.29% Pass accuracy 76.94%

315.88 Passes per match 339.32

0.24 Goals prevented 0

12.74 Fouls committed 13.5

3.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.15

2.53 Offsides 1.65

16.82 Tackles per match 15.94

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Boavista vs Nacional prediction analysis

Review Boavista vs Nacional with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights