Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Boavista vs Rio Ave

Boavista vs Rio Ave prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2024-11-09 20:30
Boavista
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Rio Ave
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
26%
2
21%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Boavista (Home)

Goals scored / match0.47
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate35%

Rio Ave (Away)

Goals scored / match0.82
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Boavista
LLWLW
Rio Ave
DDWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

41% +0.5 53%
6% +1.5 24%
0% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Boavista averages 0.47 goals scored at home, while Rio Ave averages 0.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
26%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
44%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 Boavista(A) 2 - 0 Rio Ave Home
Nov 2024 Boavista 0 - 2 Rio Ave Away
Mar 2024 Boavista 0 - 0 Rio Ave Draw
Nov 2023 Boavista(A) 0 - 2 Rio Ave Away
Apr 2023 Boavista 3 - 2 Rio Ave Home

In the last 5 meetings, Boavista won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Boavista — unbeaten run (home)0
Boavista — scoring streak (home)1
Rio Ave — winless run (away)2
Rio Ave — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Boavista Win (1)53%
Draw (X)26%
Rio Ave Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

41% +0.5 53%
6% +1.5 24%
0% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

59% -0.5 47%
94% -1.5 76%
100% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Boavista vs Rio Ave — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Boavista — scored (home)0.47
Boavista — conceded (home)1.82
Rio Ave — scored (away)0.82
Rio Ave — conceded (away)1.82
Model expected combined goals2.35

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%
No56%

Rate per Team

Boavista — BTTS matches (home)35%
Rio Ave — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)38%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Boavista (home)

Corners for4.4
Corners against4.4

Rio Ave (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Boavista
8 8 9 4 13
Rio Ave
10 10 8 9 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Boavista (home)

For2.7

Rio Ave (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Boavista — total shots (home)11.6
Rio Ave — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Boavista — on target (home)3.4
Rio Ave — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Boavista

Inside the box6.09
Outside the box4.32

Rio Ave

Inside the box6.79
Outside the box4.26

Player Shots Boavista

Manuel Namora
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
R. Boženík
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target24%
Joel da Silva
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target7%
A. Diaby
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target8%
Miguel Reisinho
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Rio Ave

F. Petrasso
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
Clayton
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target35%
Koka
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
E. Tıknaz
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target7%
João Novais
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Boavista xG (home)0.96
Rio Ave xG (away)1.07

Average Possession

39.79% Possession 47.71%

Team Comparison Boavista vs Rio Ave

73.29% Pass accuracy 79.59%
315.88 Passes per match 389.88
0.24 Goals prevented -0.09
12.74 Fouls committed 13.5
3.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.53
2.53 Offsides 2.79
16.82 Tackles per match 17.68

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Boavista vs Rio Ave prediction analysis

Review Boavista vs Rio Ave with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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