Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Boavista vs Sporting CP

Boavista vs Sporting CP prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-04-27 19:30
Boavista
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
High
Score
0-2
Sporting CP
Away

Prediction Summary

1
10%
X
18%
2
73%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Boavista (Home)

Goals scored / match0.47
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate35%

Sporting CP (Away)

Goals scored / match2.82
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate65%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Boavista
LLWLW
Sporting CP
WDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

41% +0.5 94%
6% +1.5 71%
0% +2.5 65%
0% +3.5 29%
0% +4.5 18%
35% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is High.

Boavista averages 0.47 goals scored at home, while Sporting CP averages 2.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength
73%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
10%
Draw
18%
Away Win
73%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 Boavista 0 - 5 Sporting CP Away
Dec 2024 Boavista(A) 2 - 3 Sporting CP Away
Mar 2024 Boavista(A) 1 - 6 Sporting CP Away
Oct 2023 Boavista 0 - 2 Sporting CP Away
Mar 2023 Boavista(A) 0 - 3 Sporting CP Away

In the last 5 meetings, Boavista won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Boavista — unbeaten run (home)0
Boavista — scoring streak (home)1
Sporting CP — winless run (away)1
Sporting CP — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Boavista Win (1)10%
Draw (X)18%
Sporting CP Win (2)73%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

41% +0.5 94%
6% +1.5 71%
0% +2.5 65%
0% +3.5 29%
0% +4.5 18%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

59% -0.5 6%
94% -1.5 29%
100% -2.5 35%
100% -3.5 71%
100% -4.5 82%

Boavista vs Sporting CP — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Boavista — scored (home)0.47
Boavista — conceded (home)1.82
Sporting CP — scored (away)2.82
Sporting CP — conceded (away)0.82
Model expected combined goals2.87

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Boavista — BTTS matches (home)35%
Sporting CP — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)41%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.529%
Under 9.571%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Boavista (home)

Corners for4.4
Corners against4.4

Sporting CP (away)

Corners for5.4
Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Boavista
8 8 9 4 13
Sporting CP
6 8 11 8 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Boavista (home)

For2.7

Sporting CP (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Boavista — total shots (home)11.6
Sporting CP — total shots (away)17.8

Shots on Target

Boavista — on target (home)3.4
Sporting CP — on target (away)6.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Boavista

Inside the box6.09
Outside the box4.32

Sporting CP

Inside the box12.56
Outside the box5.79

Player Shots Boavista

Manuel Namora
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
R. Boženík
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target24%
Joel da Silva
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target7%
A. Diaby
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target8%
Miguel Reisinho
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Sporting CP

V. Gyökeres
Shots on Target/Game2.8
+0.5 On Target88%
+1.5 On Target70%
C. Harder
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target14%
Trincão
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target29%
M. Hjulmand
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target4%
Pote
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Boavista xG (home)0.96
Sporting CP xG (away)2.14

Average Possession

39.79% Possession 60.44%

Team Comparison Boavista vs Sporting CP

73.29% Pass accuracy 87.03%
315.88 Passes per match 520.47
0.24 Goals prevented -0.26
12.74 Fouls committed 11.5
3.5 Goalkeeper saves 1.41
2.53 Offsides 1.16
16.82 Tackles per match 16

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Boavista vs Sporting CP prediction analysis

Review Boavista vs Sporting CP with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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