Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Bodo/Glimt vs Qarabag

Bodo/Glimt vs Qarabag prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-11-07 17:45
Bodo/Glimt
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-0
Qarabag
Away

Prediction Summary

1
67%
X
19%
2
14%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Bodo/Glimt (Home)

Goals scored / match2.38
Goals conceded / match1.25
Over 2.5 rate50%
BTTS rate63%

Qarabag (Away)

Goals scored / match0.5
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate25%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bodo/Glimt
LLLWL
Qarabag
LLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 25%
75% +1.5 25%
50% +2.5 0%
13% +3.5 0%
13% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 25%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Bodo/Glimt averages 2.38 goals scored at home, while Qarabag averages 0.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
67%
Draw
19%
Away Win
14%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2024 Bodo/Glimt 1 - 2 Qarabag Away

In the last 1 meetings, Bodo/Glimt won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Bodo/Glimt — unbeaten run (home)0
Bodo/Glimt — scoring streak (home)0
Qarabag — winless run (away)2
Qarabag — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Bodo/Glimt Win (1)67%
Draw (X)19%
Qarabag Win (2)14%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 25%
75% +1.5 25%
50% +2.5 0%
13% +3.5 0%
13% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 75%
25% -1.5 75%
50% -2.5 100%
87% -3.5 100%
87% -4.5 100%

Bodo/Glimt vs Qarabag — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bodo/Glimt — scored (home)2.38
Bodo/Glimt — conceded (home)1.25
Qarabag — scored (away)0.5
Qarabag — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Bodo/Glimt — BTTS matches (home)63%
Qarabag — BTTS matches (away)25%
Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.575%
Under 6.525%
Over 7.575%
Under 7.525%
Over 8.575%
Under 8.525%
Over 9.575%
Under 9.525%
Over 10.563%
Under 10.537%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bodo/Glimt (home)

Corners for6.0
Corners against5.3

Qarabag (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bodo/Glimt
11 5 18 14 11
Qarabag
13 8 6 11 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Bodo/Glimt (home)

For1.0

Qarabag (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

Bodo/Glimt — total shots (home)14.0
Qarabag — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Bodo/Glimt — on target (home)5.5
Qarabag — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bodo/Glimt

Inside the box8.38
Outside the box3

Qarabag

Inside the box6.13
Outside the box4

Player Shots Bodo/Glimt

A. Helmersen
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
U. Saltnes
Shots on Target/Game2.2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target27%
V. Nielsen
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
I. Määttä
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target7%
K. Høgh
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Qarabag

Juninho
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target33%
A. Zoubir
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%
T. Bayramov
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
E. Cəfərquliyev
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target0%
Y. Benzia
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bodo/Glimt xG (home)1.47
Qarabag xG (away)1.14

Average Possession

52.81% Possession 55.25%

Team Comparison Bodo/Glimt vs Qarabag

83.56% Pass accuracy 82.5%
521.13 Passes per match 475.25
0.16 Goals prevented 0.07
9.06 Fouls committed 9.88
4.06 Goalkeeper saves 4.13
1.81 Offsides 1.88
20.38 Tackles per match 23.25

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bodo/Glimt vs Qarabag prediction analysis

Review Bodo/Glimt vs Qarabag with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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