Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Bodo/Glimt vs Sturm Graz

Bodo/Glimt vs Sturm Graz prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-08-20 19:00
Bodo/Glimt
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
81%
Confidence
High
Score
3-0
Sturm Graz
Away

Prediction Summary

1
91%
X
6%
2
2%
Over 2.5
81%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Bodo/Glimt (Home)

Goals scored / match2.57
Goals conceded / match1.14
Over 2.5 rate57%
BTTS rate57%

Sturm Graz (Away)

Goals scored / match0.6
Goals conceded / match3.2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bodo/Glimt
LWWWW
Sturm Graz
WLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

86% +0.5 40%
86% +1.5 20%
57% +2.5 0%
14% +3.5 0%
14% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 81%. Model confidence is High.

Bodo/Glimt averages 2.57 goals scored at home, while Sturm Graz averages 0.6 goals scored away.

Model Strength
91%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
91%
Draw
6%
Away Win
2%
Over 2.5
81%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Bodo/Glimt(A) 1 - 2 Sturm Graz Away
Aug 2025 Bodo/Glimt 5 - 0 Sturm Graz Home

In the last 2 meetings, Bodo/Glimt won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Bodo/Glimt — unbeaten run (home)3
Bodo/Glimt — scoring streak (home)4
Sturm Graz — winless run (away)5
Sturm Graz — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bodo/Glimt Win (1)91%
Draw (X)6%
Sturm Graz Win (2)2%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

86% +0.5 40%
86% +1.5 20%
57% +2.5 0%
14% +3.5 0%
14% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

14% -0.5 60%
14% -1.5 80%
43% -2.5 100%
86% -3.5 100%
86% -4.5 100%

Bodo/Glimt vs Sturm Graz — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bodo/Glimt — scored (home)2.57
Bodo/Glimt — conceded (home)1.14
Sturm Graz — scored (away)0.6
Sturm Graz — conceded (away)3.2
Model expected combined goals4.36

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

Bodo/Glimt — BTTS matches (home)57%
Sturm Graz — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)48.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bodo/Glimt (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.0

Sturm Graz (away)

Corners for1.8
Corners against9.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bodo/Glimt
13 6 17 9 20
Sturm Graz
11 13 12 6 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.580%
Under 1.520%
Over 2.563%
Under 2.537%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Bodo/Glimt (home)

For1.0

Sturm Graz (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Bodo/Glimt — total shots (home)13.7
Sturm Graz — total shots (away)7.5

Shots on Target

Bodo/Glimt — on target (home)5.1
Sturm Graz — on target (away)2.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bodo/Glimt

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box2.86

Sturm Graz

Inside the box4.38
Outside the box4

Player Shots Bodo/Glimt

K. Høgh
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target36%
D. Bassi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
S. Fet
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Hauge
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%
H. Evjen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots Sturm Graz

J. Gazibegović
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
T. Horvat
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Biereth
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
W. Bøving
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
L. Zvonarek
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bodo/Glimt xG (home)1.75
Sturm Graz xG (away)0.84

Average Possession

46.93% Possession 37.38%

Team Comparison Bodo/Glimt vs Sturm Graz

81.14% Pass accuracy 77.25%
455.29 Passes per match 333.88
0.2 Goals prevented 0.44
9.79 Fouls committed 13.13
5.29 Goalkeeper saves 3.88
1.23 Offsides 2.25
17.71 Tackles per match 20.2

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bodo/Glimt vs Sturm Graz prediction analysis

Review Bodo/Glimt vs Sturm Graz with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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