Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise

Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2026-08-11 17:00
Bodo/Glimt
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Union St. Gilloise
Away

Prediction Summary

1
57%
X
21%
2
22%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Bodo/Glimt (Home)

Goals scored / match2.57
Goals conceded / match1.14
Over 2.5 rate57%
BTTS rate57%

Union St. Gilloise (Away)

Goals scored / match1.25
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bodo/Glimt
LWWWW
Union St. Gilloise
WLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

86% +0.5 75%
86% +1.5 25%
57% +2.5 25%
14% +3.5 0%
14% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

Bodo/Glimt averages 2.57 goals scored at home, while Union St. Gilloise averages 1.25 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
57%
Draw
21%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2024 Bodo/Glimt(A) 0 - 0 Union St. Gilloise Draw

In the last 1 meetings, Bodo/Glimt won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Bodo/Glimt — unbeaten run (home)3
Bodo/Glimt — scoring streak (home)4
Union St. Gilloise — winless run (away)1
Union St. Gilloise — clean sheets (away, last 4)1 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Bodo/Glimt Win (1)57%
Draw (X)21%
Union St. Gilloise Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

86% +0.5 75%
86% +1.5 25%
57% +2.5 25%
14% +3.5 0%
14% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

14% -0.5 25%
14% -1.5 75%
43% -2.5 75%
86% -3.5 100%
86% -4.5 100%

Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bodo/Glimt — scored (home)2.57
Bodo/Glimt — conceded (home)1.14
Union St. Gilloise — scored (away)1.25
Union St. Gilloise — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals3.23

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

Bodo/Glimt — BTTS matches (home)57%
Union St. Gilloise — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)53.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bodo/Glimt (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.0

Union St. Gilloise (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bodo/Glimt
13 6 17 9 20
Union St. Gilloise
10 9 5 5 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.588%
Under 0.512%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.581%
Under 2.519%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Bodo/Glimt (home)

For1.0

Union St. Gilloise (away)

For2.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.560%
Under 22.540%
Over 25.548%
Under 25.552%
Expected total shots26.17

Bodo/Glimt

Shots Over 9.579%
Shots Over 11.566%
Shots Over 13.552%
Expected shots14.55
On Target Over 3.569%
On Target Over 4.555%
On Target Over 5.542%
Expected on target5.29

Union St. Gilloise

Shots Over 9.562%
Shots Over 11.546%
Shots Over 13.532%
Expected shots11.61
On Target Over 3.557%
On Target Over 4.541%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.28

Shots per Game

Bodo/Glimt — total shots (home)13.7
Union St. Gilloise — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

Bodo/Glimt — on target (home)5.1
Union St. Gilloise — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bodo/Glimt

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box2.86

Union St. Gilloise

Inside the box8.25
Outside the box3.63

Player Shots Bodo/Glimt

K. Høgh
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target36%
D. Bassi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
S. Fet
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Hauge
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%
H. Evjen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots Union St. Gilloise

P. David
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target29%
K. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
S. Boufal
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
R. Florucz
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Khalaili
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bodo/Glimt xG (home)1.75
Union St. Gilloise xG (away)1.31

Average Possession

46.93% Possession 35%

Team Comparison Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise

81.14% Pass accuracy 77.75%
455.29 Passes per match 335
0.2 Goals prevented 0.27
9.79 Fouls committed 12.13
5.29 Goalkeeper saves 2.25
1.23 Offsides 4
17.71 Tackles per match 24.88

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise prediction analysis

Review Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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