What markets are included in the Bologna vs Genoa prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Bologna vs Genoa prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Bologna vs Genoa

Bologna vs Genoa prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-24 16:00

Bologna

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

41%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Genoa

Away

Prediction Summary

55%

26%

19%

Under 2.5

59%

BTTS No

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Bologna (Home)

Goals scored / match1.74

Goals conceded / match0.95

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate63%

Genoa (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.26

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bologna

LLLDD

Genoa

WLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 58%

47% +1.5 21%

21% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

63% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Bologna averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while Genoa averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength

59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

55%

Draw

26%

Away Win

19%

Over 2.5

41%

BTTS Yes

42%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Bologna(A) 2 - 3 Genoa Away

Sep 2025 Bologna 2 - 1 Genoa Home

May 2025 Bologna 1 - 3 Genoa Away

Oct 2024 Bologna(A) 2 - 2 Genoa Draw

May 2024 Bologna(A) 0 - 2 Genoa Away

In the last 5 meetings, Bologna won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Bologna — unbeaten run (home)0

Bologna — scoring streak (home)15

Genoa — winless run (away)0

Genoa — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bologna Win (1)55%

Draw (X)26%

Genoa Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 58%

47% +1.5 21%

21% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 42%

53% -1.5 79%

79% -2.5 95%

95% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Bologna vs Genoa — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bologna — scored (home)1.74

Bologna — conceded (home)0.95

Genoa — scored (away)0.84

Genoa — conceded (away)1.26

Model expected combined goals2.31

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%

No58%

Rate per Team

Bologna — BTTS matches (home)63%

Genoa — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%

Under 4.58%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bologna (home)

Corners for6.5

Corners against3.2

Genoa (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bologna

11 13 7 6 14

Genoa

9 15 8 7 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Bologna (home)

For1.6

Genoa (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Bologna — total shots (home)15.5

Genoa — total shots (away)8.6

Shots on Target

Bologna — on target (home)5.1

Genoa — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bologna

Inside the box8.61

Outside the box4.87

Genoa

Inside the box6.74

Outside the box3.39

Player Shots Bologna

J. Lucumí

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target3%

+1.5 On Target3%

R. Orsolini

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target23%

T. Pobega

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target14%

J. Odgaard

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target24%

B. Domínguez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots Genoa

A. Pinamonti

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target28%

K. De Winter

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target12%

F. Miretti

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target8%

C. Ekuban

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target6%

L. Venturino

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bologna xG (home)1.3

Genoa xG (away)0.99

Average Possession

58.58% Possession 45.61%

Team Comparison Bologna vs Genoa

83.11% Pass accuracy 78.32%

462.82 Passes per match 372.39

-0.21 Goals prevented 0.1

14.13 Fouls committed 13.08

1.66 Goalkeeper saves 3.14

1.75 Offsides 1.53

15.53 Tackles per match 17.68

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bologna vs Genoa prediction analysis

Review Bologna vs Genoa with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights