Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Bologna vs Juventus

Bologna vs Juventus prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-12-14 19:45
Bologna
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
37%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Juventus
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
27%
2
20%
Under 2.5
63%
BTTS No
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Bologna (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate32%

Juventus (Away)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bologna
DWWDL
Juventus
DLWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 79%
26% +1.5 37%
11% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
32% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Bologna averages 1 goals scored at home, while Juventus averages 1.37 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
27%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
40%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Bologna(A) 0 - 2 Juventus Away
Dec 2025 Bologna 0 - 1 Juventus Away
May 2025 Bologna 1 - 1 Juventus Draw
Dec 2024 Bologna(A) 2 - 2 Juventus Draw
May 2024 Bologna 3 - 3 Juventus Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Bologna won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Bologna — unbeaten run (home)2
Bologna — scoring streak (home)1
Juventus — winless run (away)1
Juventus — clean sheets (away, last 5)4 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bologna Win (1)52%
Draw (X)27%
Juventus Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 79%
26% +1.5 37%
11% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 21%
74% -1.5 63%
89% -2.5 84%
95% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Bologna vs Juventus — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bologna — scored (home)1
Bologna — conceded (home)1.21
Juventus — scored (away)1.37
Juventus — conceded (away)0.95
Model expected combined goals2.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%
No60%

Rate per Team

Bologna — BTTS matches (home)32%
Juventus — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)37%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.574%
Under 5.526%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.545%
Under 8.555%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bologna (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against3.8

Juventus (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bologna
14 9 8 7 5
Juventus
4 15 8 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.569%
Under 2.531%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Bologna (home)

For1.4

Juventus (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Bologna — total shots (home)14.7
Juventus — total shots (away)13.9

Shots on Target

Bologna — on target (home)3.8
Juventus — on target (away)5.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bologna

Inside the box8.08
Outside the box4.79

Juventus

Inside the box11
Outside the box5.82

Player Shots Bologna

R. Orsolini
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Rowe
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. Castro
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Odgaard
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
F. Bernardeschi
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Juventus

K. Yıldız
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target28%
D. Vlahović
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target21%
J. Boga
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target20%
Francisco Conceição
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target19%
E. Zhegrova
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bologna xG (home)1.17
Juventus xG (away)1.81

Average Possession

55.05% Possession 57.5%

Team Comparison Bologna vs Juventus

82.39% Pass accuracy 86.21%
443.82 Passes per match 520.92
0.07 Goals prevented 0.02
13.16 Fouls committed 12.13
2.42 Goalkeeper saves 1.97
1.97 Offsides 2.03
14.24 Tackles per match 16.05

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bologna vs Juventus prediction analysis

Review Bologna vs Juventus with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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