Prediction Analysis: Bologna vs Lazio
Bologna vs Lazio prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie A
2026-08-23
16:30
Bologna
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
37%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Lazio
Away
Prediction Summary
1
32%
X
32%
2
36%
+2.5 Goals
29%
BTTS
37%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
Bologna (Home)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate32%
Lazio (Away)
Goals scored / match0.74
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate16%
Team Form last 5 matches
Bologna
DWWDL
Lazio
WLLWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
58%
+0.5
42%
26%
+1.5
26%
11%
+2.5
5%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
32%
BTTS
16%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is High.
Bologna averages 1 goals scored at home, while Lazio averages 0.74 goals scored away.
Model Strength
71%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
32%
Draw
32%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
29%
BTTS Yes
37%
Head-to-Head last 5
Mar 2026
Bologna
0 - 2
Lazio
Away
Dec 2025
Bologna(A)
1 - 1
Lazio
Draw
Mar 2025
Bologna
5 - 0
Lazio
Home
Nov 2024
Bologna(A)
0 - 3
Lazio
Away
Feb 2024
Bologna(A)
2 - 1
Lazio
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Bologna won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Bologna — unbeaten run (home)2
Bologna — scoring streak (home)1
Lazio — winless run (away)1
Lazio — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Bologna Win (1)32%
Draw (X)32%
Lazio Win (2)36%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
58%
+0.5
42%
26%
+1.5
26%
11%
+2.5
5%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
42%
-0.5
58%
74%
-1.5
74%
89%
-2.5
95%
95%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Bologna vs Lazio — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Bologna — scored (home)1
Bologna — conceded (home)1.21
Lazio — scored (away)0.74
Lazio — conceded (away)0.79
Model expected combined goals1.87
Both Teams To Score
Yes37%
No63%
Rate per Team
Bologna — BTTS matches (home)32%
Lazio — BTTS matches (away)16%
Combined (simple average)24%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Bologna (home)
Corners for5.2
Corners against3.8
Lazio (away)
Corners for2.9
Corners against4.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Bologna
14
9
8
7
5
Lazio
9
6
6
11
6
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9
Yellow Cards per Team
Bologna (home)
For1.4
Lazio (away)
For1.9
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.569%
Under 19.531%
Over 22.554%
Under 22.546%
Over 25.540%
Under 25.560%
Expected total shots24.19
Bologna
Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.564%
Shots Over 13.549%
Expected shots13.97
On Target Over 3.557%
On Target Over 4.539%
On Target Over 5.525%
Expected on target4.13
Lazio
Shots Over 9.553%
Shots Over 11.535%
Shots Over 13.521%
Expected shots10.22
On Target Over 3.547%
On Target Over 4.530%
On Target Over 5.518%
Expected on target3.61
Shots per Game
Bologna — total shots (home)14.7
Lazio — total shots (away)9.8
Shots on Target
Bologna — on target (home)3.8
Lazio — on target (away)3.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Bologna
Inside the box8.08
Outside the box4.79
Lazio
Inside the box6.68
Outside the box4.29
Player Shots Bologna
R. Orsolini
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Rowe
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. Castro
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Odgaard
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
F. Bernardeschi
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%
Player Shots Lazio
V. Castellanos
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target9%
G. Isaksen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Cancellieri
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Zaccagni
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target12%
T. Bašić
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target13%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Bologna xG (home)1.17
Lazio xG (away)1.12
Average Possession
55.05%
Possession
50.34%
Team Comparison Bologna vs Lazio
82.39%
Pass accuracy
85.92%
443.82
Passes per match
491.95
0.07
Goals prevented
0.21
13.16
Fouls committed
10.58
2.42
Goalkeeper saves
3.16
1.97
Offsides
1.06
14.24
Tackles per match
12.66
League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Bologna vs Lazio prediction analysis
Review Bologna vs Lazio with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights